Alibaba Group Holding Limited BABA prediction markets

Every prediction market about Alibaba Group Holding Limited: its own price outlook, questions about it, and the ones that move it.

108.54 −0.03 (−0.03%)on 4Conservative Finance ›

About the company

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

78%Google

Google78%▲ 7
Anthropic19%▼ 10
OpenAI1%
Meta1%

17 more

Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
Xiaomi<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

50%Anthropic

Anthropic50%▲ 3
Google40%▼ 2
OpenAI6%
xAI1%

11 more

Meta1%
Alibaba<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Moonshot<1%
Z.ai<1%
Mistral<1%
Microsoft<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Meituan<1%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

52%Google

Google52%▼ 1
Anthropic39%▲ 1
OpenAI5%
Meta2%

17 more

Alibaba<1%
Z.ai<1%▼ 2
Moonshot<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

BABA-0.03%AMZN+0.36%NVDA+0.17%

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

71%Meta

Meta71%▲ 5
Moonshot7%
Google7%▼ 8
Alibaba5%▼ 13

12 more

OpenAI2%▲ 2
Anthropic2%
Z.ai2%
SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
Mistral1%
Thinky<1%
Xiaomi<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Tencent<1%
Poolside<1%

META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%BABA-0.03%

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

40%Meta

Meta40%▼ 19
Z.ai31%▼ 5
Tencent15%▲ 14
Microsoft13%▲ 13

16 more

Google6%▲ 2
DeepSeek4%▲ 2
SpaceXAI4%▲ 4
OpenAI3%
Anthropic3%▲ 1
Moonshot3%▲ 1
Alibaba2%
Xiaomi2%
Amazon2%▲ 2
MiniMax2%▲ 1
StepFun2%▲ 1
Meituan1%
Baidu1%
Nvidia1%
Bytedance1%▲ 1
Mistral1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

60%Xiaomi

Xiaomi60%▲ 8
Moonshot14%▼ 2
Alibaba9%▼ 4
Z.ai8%▼ 2

7 more

DeepSeek3%
MiniMax2%▼ 2
Baidu1%
ByteDance1%
Tencent1%
StepFun<1%
Meituan<1%

BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

81%OpenAI

OpenAI81%▲ 14
Google9%▼ 16
Anthropic5%▼ 1
Moonshot1%▼ 3

14 more

Z.ai1%▼ 3
Meta<1%▼ 1
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Nvidia<1%
Alibaba<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

65%OpenAI

OpenAI65%▲ 19
Anthropic17%▼ 5
Google6%▼ 4
Meta5%▼ 1

15 more

Meituan4%▼ 3
Moonshot2%▼ 1
MiniMax1%
SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
Z.ai1%
ByteDance1%▼ 3
Baidu1%
Alibaba<1%▼ 6
Nvidia<1%▼ 1
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%▼ 1
Microsoft<1%▼ 1
Tencent<1%
Xiaomi<1%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

90%Anthropic

Anthropic90%▲ 2
OpenAI5%
Google3%
Meta1%

14 more

Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Alibaba<1%
Moonshot<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
Nvidia<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

37%Moonshot

Moonshot37%▲ 7
Alibaba29%▼ 10
Z.ai12%▼ 4
Xiaomi6%▲ 2

7 more

MiniMax6%
DeepSeek5%
Tencent2%
Baidu1%
StepFun1%
ByteDance1%▼ 1
Meituan<1%

BABA-0.03%BIDU+0.94%

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

74%Google

Google74%▲ 4
Anthropic16%▼ 6
Meta5%▲ 3
OpenAI4%▲ 2

17 more

Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
Z.ai<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

74%Anthropic

Anthropic74%▲ 12
OpenAI15%▲ 1
Alibaba4%▼ 1
Google4%▼ 1

15 more

SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
Baidu1%
Moonshot<1%
Xiaomi<1%
MiniMax<1%
ByteDance<1%
Amazon<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%
Tencent<1%
Z.ai<1%
Meta<1%
Nvidia<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

76%Anthropic

Anthropic76%▲ 4
OpenAI16%▲ 1
Google4%▼ 3
xAI2%

5 more

DeepSeek2%▲ 1
Alibaba1%
Baidu1%
Z.ai1%
Moonshot AI1%

GOOGL-0.62%BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

76%Google

Google76%▲ 26
OpenAI14%▼ 16
Meta4%▼ 1
SpaceXAI2%▼ 1

14 more

Moonshot2%
Z.ai1%▼ 1
DeepSeek1%▲ 1
Anthropic1%
Alibaba1%
Microsoft<1%
ByteDance<1%
Baidu<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Nvidia<1%
Amazon<1%

AMZN+0.36%NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

47%Anthropic

Anthropic47%▼ 3
Meta36%▲ 7
Google15%▼ 4
OpenAI1%

17 more

Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Z.ai<1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Nvidia<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Top Chinese AI company this month (Oct 31, 2026)

64%Xiaomi

Xiaomi64%▲ 13
Moonshot14%▼ 2
Alibaba9%▼ 4
Z.ai4%▲ 1

5 more

DeepSeek3%▲ 1
Baidu1%
ByteDance1%
MiniMax1%
Tencent1%

BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

32%Meta

Meta32%▼ 7
Anthropic22%▼ 1
Google17%▲ 1
StepFun14%▲ 8

17 more

OpenAI9%▲ 1
Moonshot6%
Tencent5%
DeepSeek4%
ByteDance4%
Nvidia4%▼ 2
Mistral4%
Alibaba4%
Z.ai4%
Xiaomi3%
Microsoft3%
Baidu3%
Meituan2%▼ 6
Thinky2%
SpaceXAI1%
MiniMax1%
Amazon1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

42%Meta

Meta42%▼ 1
Anthropic18%
OpenAI17%▼ 1
Google14%▼ 1

17 more

Moonshot4%▼ 1
Meituan3%
Z.ai2%▼ 1
Tencent1%
Alibaba1%▼ 1
Xiaomi1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Baidu<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Microsoft<1%
Nvidia<1%
StepFun<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

68%Anthropic

Anthropic68%▼ 1
Google24%▲ 2
Meta4%▲ 1
Alibaba1%

17 more

OpenAI1%
Xiaomi1%
Moonshot<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
StepFun<1%
DeepSeek<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Thinky<1%
Mistral<1%
Tencent<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
MiniMax<1%
Meituan<1%
Microsoft<1%

AMZN+0.36%NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

56%Meta

Meta56%▼ 11
Anthropic31%▲ 13
Alibaba3%
Google2%

17 more

Z.ai1%
Moonshot1%
OpenAI1%
SpaceXAI1%
Baidu1%
Xiaomi1%
DeepSeek1%
Tencent<1%
MiniMax<1%
Nvidia<1%
Microsoft<1%
ByteDance<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Thinky<1%
Amazon<1%
StepFun<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

32%Meta

Meta32%▲ 9
Google25%▲ 10
OpenAI19%▲ 1
Alibaba17%▲ 1

12 more

Moonshot10%▲ 2
Thinky9%▼ 4
Xiaomi7%▲ 5
DeepSeek3%▲ 2
Tencent3%
Z.ai3%
ByteDance3%
Anthropic2%
SpaceXAI2%
MiniMax1%
Poolside<1%
Mistral<1%

META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%BABA-0.03%

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

55%Anthropic

Anthropic55%▼ 6
OpenAI10%▼ 1
Meta7%▼ 1
xAI6%

10 more

DeepSeek5%
Baidu4%
Alibaba4%
Z.ai4%
Microsoft4%
Amazon3%▼ 2
Moonshot2%
Mistral2%
Meituan2%
ByteDance1%

BABA-0.03%AMZN+0.36%BIDU+0.94%

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

70%Anthropic

Anthropic70%▲ 2
OpenAI17%▼ 2
Google5%
Alibaba1%

17 more

Baidu1%
Z.ai1%
Xiaomi1%
SpaceXAI1%
DeepSeek1%
Amazon1%
ByteDance1%
Nvidia1%
Thinky1%
Mistral1%
Tencent1%
Microsoft1%
Meituan<1%
Meta<1%
Moonshot<1%
MiniMax<1%
StepFun<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

84%OpenAI

OpenAI84%▼ 1
Meta6%▲ 4
Anthropic4%▼ 1
Z.ai1%

12 more

Google1%
Alibaba1%
SpaceXAI1%
Moonshot<1%
Xiaomi<1%
ByteDance<1%
Poolside<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Tencent<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Mistral<1%

META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%BABA-0.03%

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

46%Anthropic

Anthropic46%▼ 4
Google40%▼ 1
OpenAI5%
Z.ai3%▼ 1

16 more

Alibaba2%
Meta1%
Moonshot1%
Baidu1%
DeepSeek1%
ByteDance1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Xiaomi<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Tencent<1%
Nvidia<1%
MiniMax<1%
Amazon<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

GOOGL-0.62%BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

21%Anthropic

Anthropic21%▼ 4
Mistral7%
Google7%
Alibaba5%▲ 2

10 more

Meta5%▼ 1
SpaceXAI3%
Z.ai3%
Moonshot3%▲ 1
DeepSeek3%
Amazon2%
ByteDance2%
Meituan2%
Microsoft2%
Baidu2%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

35%Google

Google35%
Anthropic33%▲ 1
Meta17%
Baidu10%▲ 3

17 more

SpaceXAI8%
MiniMax5%▼ 3
OpenAI5%▼ 1
Thinky4%
ByteDance4%
Z.ai4%
Meituan3%
Alibaba3%
Moonshot3%
Xiaomi1%
Mistral1%▼ 1
StepFun1%
DeepSeek1%
Amazon1%
Nvidia1%
Tencent1%
Microsoft1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

27%Google

Google27%
Anthropic16%▼ 2
Meta13%▲ 1
Microsoft6%

17 more

Tencent5%
ByteDance5%
MiniMax5%▼ 1
StepFun4%
Alibaba3%
OpenAI3%
SpaceXAI3%
Z.ai3%
Xiaomi3%
Amazon3%
DeepSeek2%
Thinky2%
Moonshot1%▼ 1
Baidu<1%
Nvidia<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

10%Microsoft

Microsoft10%▼ 3
SpaceXAI9%▲ 1
Google7%▼ 1
DeepSeek5%

9 more

Meta3%
Z.ai3%
Amazon3%▼ 1
Meituan2%▼ 1
Moonshot2%
Alibaba2%▼ 1
ByteDance1%
Mistral1%
Baidu1%

MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%GOOGL-0.62%

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

27%Alibaba

Alibaba27%▼ 1
Xiaomi26%
Moonshot13%
Z.ai12%

7 more

Meituan6%▲ 3
StepFun5%
DeepSeek4%
ByteDance3%
Tencent3%
Baidu2%
MiniMax2%

BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

43%Alibaba

Alibaba43%▲ 3
Xiaomi21%▲ 2
Moonshot15%▼ 1
DeepSeek8%▲ 1

7 more

Z.ai7%
MiniMax4%▲ 1
Baidu2%
Tencent2%▼ 1
ByteDance1%
Meituan<1%
StepFun<1%

BIDU+0.94%BABA-0.03%

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

52%Google

Google52%▼ 2
Anthropic39%▲ 2
OpenAI4%
Meta2%

16 more

Moonshot<1%
Mistral<1%
Xiaomi<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Alibaba<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
DeepSeek<1%
MiniMax<1%
Meituan<1%
Amazon<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

38%Anthropic

Anthropic38%
Google36%▲ 2
Meta11%▼ 1
OpenAI9%▼ 1

17 more

Alibaba1%
SpaceXAI1%
Xiaomi1%
Moonshot1%
Z.ai1%
Baidu<1%
ByteDance<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
Nvidia<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Amazon<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

46%Anthropic

Anthropic46%▼ 2
Google23%▼ 2
Meta18%▼ 1
OpenAI4%

17 more

Moonshot3%
Alibaba2%
Tencent1%
Z.ai1%
SpaceXAI1%
Baidu<1%
Xiaomi<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Nvidia<1%
ByteDance<1%
Microsoft<1%
MiniMax<1%
Thinky<1%
Meituan<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
StepFun<1%

AMZN+0.36%BABA-0.03%BIDU+0.94%

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? (2026)

15%OpenAI

OpenAI15%▼ 1
xAI10%▼ 4
Z.ai6%
Meta5%▼ 1

8 more

Mistral4%▲ 1
Alibaba4%▼ 1
Moonshot AI3%
Deepseek3%
Baidu3%▼ 2
ByteDance3%▲ 2
Nvidia2%▼ 1
01A12%▼ 1

BABA-0.03%BIDU+0.94%META-1.77%

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

45%Google

Google45%▲ 5
Anthropic39%▼ 5
Meta11%▼ 1
Microsoft9%▲ 3

17 more

SpaceXAI8%▲ 2
Alibaba6%
Tencent5%
StepFun5%
OpenAI3%
DeepSeek3%
Thinky2%
Moonshot1%
Z.ai1%
Baidu1%
Xiaomi1%
Meituan1%
ByteDance1%
MiniMax1%
Mistral1%
Amazon1%
Nvidia1%

AMZN+0.36%BABA-0.03%BIDU+0.94%

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

58%Anthropic

Anthropic58%▼ 1
Google26%▲ 4
Meta8%▼ 1
OpenAI5%

17 more

Meituan3%
Nvidia3%
Alibaba1%
Z.ai1%
Baidu1%
ByteDance<1%
Tencent<1%
Moonshot<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Mistral<1%
Amazon<1%
Xiaomi<1%
StepFun<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
Microsoft<1%

AMZN+0.36%NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%

Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Dec 31, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET)

24%Google

Google24%▲ 10
Anthropic16%▼ 1
OpenAI14%▼ 1
xAI7%▼ 1

30 more

Meta5%
Moonshot5%
Z AI5%
Xiaomi5%
Tencent5%
DeepSeek4%
MiniMax4%
Mistral4%
Alibaba3%
NVIDIA3%
Amazon3%▼ 1
Essential AI3%▲ 1
ByteDance3%
Microsoft3%
Huawei3%
StepFun2%
Baidu2%
Thinking Machines2%
China Mobile2%
Institute of Foundation Models2%
Upstage2%
InclusionAI2%
LongCat2%
Cohere2%
Inception2%
Arcee AI2%
Safe Superintelligence2%
Reflection AI2%
Prime Intellect2%
LG AI Research2%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

Nov 11, 2026even chance by

October 3143%▲ 26
December 3184%▼ 4

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

74%Anthropic

Anthropic74%▼ 4
OpenAI6%
Google5%▲ 2
Meituan5%▼ 5

17 more

Meta1%
MiniMax1%
SpaceXAI1%
Tencent1%
StepFun1%
Moonshot1%
Xiaomi1%
Thinky1%
Mistral1%
Alibaba1%
Baidu1%
Z.ai1%
DeepSeek1%
Amazon1%
ByteDance1%
Nvidia1%
Microsoft<1%

NVDA+0.17%MSFT-0.36%META-1.77%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.