Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Polymarket Tech › AI Closes Sat 12:00 PM ET · $18.8K today · $36K traded · $31.1K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

82%Xiaomi
  • Xiaomi82%▲ 16
  • Moonshot11%▼ 14
  • Alibaba4%▼ 1
  • Z.ai1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • StepFun<1%

How the odds have moved

Xiaomi: 59% on Oct 20, 82% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 26, 11 PM ETXiaomi: 65% → 76%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETXiaomi: 59% → 67%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Xiaomi 82% ▲ 16 80¢ 84¢ $1.19 $50.8K
Moonshot 11% ▼ 14 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 $70.5K
Alibaba 4% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.41 $75.6K
Z.ai 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $30.7K
Baidu <1% 0¢ 1¢ $20.7K
MiniMax <1% 0¢ 1¢ $23.9K
ByteDance <1% 0¢ 1¢ $21.9K
Tencent <1% 0¢ 0¢ $22.1K
DeepSeek <1% 0¢ 0¢ $22.4K
Meituan <1% 0¢ $8.4K
StepFun <1% 0¢ $13.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Best Chinese AI Company

Search ›
  • The Hype Picks Moonshot. The Money Picks Xiaomi.DEV Community · 10 h ago📖 Read the full version with charts and embedded sources on The Arc of Power → But three days after the launch, Polymarket's "Best Chinese AI Company end of October" market tells a different story. The odds: Xiaomi 76%. Moonshot 15%. Over…

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%Google
  • Google89%▲ 3
  • Anthropic9%▼ 1
  • Meta<1%
18 more
  • OpenAI<1%▼ 1
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Moonshot<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
Tech › AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

69%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3169%▲ 12
  • October 2714%▼ 6
  • October 297%▲ 2
11 more
  • October 287%▲ 2
  • October 301%▼ 1
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 311%▲ 1
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
  • October 26<1%▼ 4
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $41.4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions