Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
27%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%▲ 1
- June 30, 202710%
- December 31, 202714%▲ 1
- December 31, 202827%
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Every AI market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
Trending ai markets
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.1Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.1T.
- Reaches $1.5T92%
- Reaches $1.75T69%
- Reaches $2T56%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
- Falls to $600B3%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
73%Google
- Google73%▲ 1
- Anthropic24%▼ 3
- OpenAI1%
- Meta<1%
17 more
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
51%Anthropic
- Anthropic51%▲ 4
- Google40%▲ 1
- OpenAI6%▼ 2
- Meta2%▼ 1
11 more
- xAI1%
- Alibaba<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Meituan<1%
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
24%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202817%▼ 2
- December 31, 202924%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
20%December 31
- October 232%▼ 1
- October 314%▼ 6
- November 3020%▼ 4
- December 3120%▼ 10
Best AI at the end of 2026?
52%Claude
- Claude52%▲ 5
- Gemini38%
- ChatGPT9%▼ 2
- Grok3%▼ 1
4 more
- Muse1%▼ 1
- Qwen1%
- Kimi<1%
- Ernie<1%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Dec 26, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202616%▲ 1
- December 31, 202751%
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
28%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%▲ 1
- June 30, 202714%▼ 1
- December 31, 202716%▲ 1
- December 31, 202828%▼ 1
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
25%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20263%
- June 30, 202714%
- December 31, 202721%
- December 31, 202825%▲ 1
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
26%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202711%
- December 31, 202712%
- December 31, 202826%
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
21%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 20279%
- December 31, 202713%
- December 31, 202821%
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
27%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20263%
- June 30, 202716%
- December 31, 202721%
- December 31, 202827%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
52%Google
- Google52%▲ 7
- Anthropic39%▼ 8
- OpenAI4%▼ 1
- Meta2%
17 more
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot1%
- Z.ai1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
97%No release by November 1
- No release by November 197%▲ 7
- October 26–November 12%▼ 1
- October 19–October 252%▼ 1
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
9%chance
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
Oct 26, 2026even chance by
- October 2121%▼ 21
- October 2241%▼ 19
- October 2441%▼ 32
- October 3176%▼ 6
1 more
- December 3198%
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
23%1480+
1,4701,520
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
61%Before 2030
- Before 203061%▲ 1
- Before 202849%▲ 4
- Before 20274%
DeepSeek market share this week (DeepSeek market share - Oct 19, 2026)
25.96%median
21.6%29%
Median 25.96%Middle half 25.39% – 27.05%
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
24%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20263%
- June 30, 202711%
- December 31, 202717%
- December 31, 202824%
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
47%↑ 1540
- Reaches 1,54047%
- Reaches 1,55032%
- Reaches 1,6009%
Already reached: ↑ 1510, ↑ 1520, ↑ 1530, ↑ 1500
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
60%Anthropic
- Anthropic60%▼ 2
- OpenAI10%▼ 1
- Meta8%▼ 1
- xAI6%
10 more
- DeepSeek5%
- Alibaba4%
- Baidu4%
- Z.ai4%
- Microsoft4%
- Amazon3%▲ 2
- Moonshot2%
- Mistral2%
- Meituan2%
- ByteDance<1%
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
48%Saudi Arabia
- Saudi Arabia48%▲ 34
- China9%
- Russia5%▼ 5
- Anthropic4%
6 more
- Meta4%
- SpaceXAI / Elon Musk3%
- Iran3%
- North Korea2%
- Israel2%
- Google2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.