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News Topics
The news behind the odds: every subject the prediction markets bet on, with its latest coverage from the 4Conservative index and the markets about it.
Prediction Markets
Kalshi, Polymarket and the business, money and regulation of betting on real-world events.
Politics
The White House, Congress, the courts and the policy fights traders bet on.
Elections
The 2026 midterms race by race, the 2028 field and elections around the world.
Economy
The Fed, inflation, jobs, growth, rates and trade: what traders expect next.
Finance
Stocks and indexes, companies, earnings, deals, commodities and currencies.
Crypto
Bitcoin, Ether and the rest: prices, launches and crypto policy.
Sports
The games, the championships and the awards traders bet on.
Culture
Awards, box office, music, TV and the people in them.
Tech and Science
AI models and labs, space, big tech and the questions of science.
World
Wars, ceasefires and diplomacy, region by region.
Weather and Climate
Forecasts, hurricanes, the planet's temperature and the big disasters.
Health
Outbreaks, FDA decisions and public health.
Mentions
Speeches, briefings, posts and earnings calls: what they will say.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.