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Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $91,447 .
Reaches $90,000 56% Reaches $95,000 37% Falls to $70,000 37% Falls to $65,000 24% Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
by December 31, 2026 3% by March 31, 2027 7% ▼ 1 by June 30, 2027 13% ▼ 1 2 more by September 30, 2027 16% ▼ 1 by December 31, 2027 30% ▲ 2 Traders see as low as $2,146 .
Reaches $3,000 33% Reaches $3,500 13% Falls to $2,250 64% Falls to $2,000 31% Already reached: ↑ 2,750, ↑ 2,500, ↑ 2,250, ↑ 2,000, ↑ 1,750, ↑ 1,750
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $85,509 and as low as $78,708 .
Reaches $82,500 90% Reaches $85,000 56% Falls to $80,000 66% Falls to $77,500 36% Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
December 31, 2026 5% ▼ 2 June 30, 2027 21% December 31, 2027 41% ▼ 1
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2,552 and as low as $2,267 .
Reaches $2,500 64% Reaches $2,600 37% Falls to $2,300 59% Falls to $2,200 33% Already reached: ↓ 2,700, ↓ 2,600, ↓ 2,500, ↓ 2,400, ↑ 2,700, ↑ 2,700
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .