Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1.08median
5.505.50
Median 1.08Middle half 0.79 – 1.37
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Weather & Climate odds
Tomorrow's highs, rain and snow, hurricane seasons, the planet's temperature and the big natural disasters.
Trending weather & climate markets
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
15.0median
1122
Median 15.0Middle half 14.2 – 15.8
New pandemic in 2026?
4%chance
Where will it rain on Oct 21, 2026?
18%New York City
00
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 21?
>99%32°C
- 32°C>99%▲ 68
- 28°C or below<1%
- 29°C<1%
- 30°C<1%
7 more
- 31°C<1%▼ 4
- 33°C<1%▼ 53
- 34°C<1%▼ 11
- 35°C<1%▼ 2
- 36°C<1%
- 37°C<1%
- 38°C or higher<1%
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 20?
>99%31°C
- 31°C>99%▲ 43
- 26°C or below<1%
- 27°C<1%
- 28°C<1%
7 more
- 29°C<1%▼ 1
- 30°C<1%▼ 9
- 32°C<1%▼ 29
- 33°C<1%▼ 1
- 34°C<1%
- 35°C<1%
- 36°C or higher<1%
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?
74%16°C
- 16°C74%▼ 12
- 11°C9%▲ 9
- 12°C7%▲ 6
- 13°C5%▲ 5
5 more
- 19°C or higher2%
- 14°C1%▲ 1
- 17°C1%
- 15°C<1%
- 18°C<1%
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 21, 2026?
73.5median
6675
Median 73.5Middle half 73.2 – 73.7
Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 21, 2026?
83.5median
8089
Median 83.5Middle half 83.2 – 83.8
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 21?
69%15°C or below
- 15°C or below69%▲ 21
- 22°C22%▲ 3
- 23°C<1%▼ 1
- 25°C or higher<1%
7 more
- 17°C<1%
- 20°C<1%▼ 7
- 21°C<1%▼ 24
- 18°C<1%
- 19°C<1%
- 16°C<1%
- 24°C<1%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
5%chance▼ 5
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 21?
84%36°C
- 36°C84%▲ 79
- 34°C12%▼ 33
- 33°C2%▼ 23
- 35°C1%▼ 22
7 more
- 37°C<1%
- 28°C or below<1%
- 29°C<1%
- 30°C<1%
- 31°C<1%
- 32°C<1%▼ 2
- 38°C or higher<1%
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
72%chance
Highest temperature in Istanbul on October 20?
80%13°C or below
- 13°C or below80%▲ 11
- 21°C17%▼ 10
- 18°C1%▼ 1
- 16°C<1%
7 more
- 23°C or higher<1%
- 14°C<1%
- 15°C<1%
- 17°C<1%
- 19°C<1%
- 20°C<1%
- 22°C<1%
Highest temperature in London on October 21?
97%13°C
- 13°C97%▲ 46
- 12°C2%▼ 26
- 15°C<1%▼ 4
- 14°C<1%▼ 14
7 more
- 9°C or below<1%
- 10°C<1%
- 11°C<1%▼ 3
- 16°C<1%
- 17°C<1%
- 18°C<1%
- 19°C or higher<1%
Natural Disaster in 2026?
11%chance▲ 1
Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?
61.5median
5867
Median 61.5Middle half 61.2 – 61.8
Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 21?
99%29°C
- 29°C99%▲ 67
- 28°C1%▼ 45
- 30°C1%▼ 6
- 32°C<1%
7 more
- 24°C<1%
- 26°C<1%▼ 1
- 27°C<1%▼ 12
- 23°C or below<1%
- 25°C<1%
- 31°C<1%▼ 2
- 33°C or higher<1%
Highest temperature in Taipei on October 20?
>99%35°C
- 35°C>99%▲ 51
- 30°C or below<1%
- 31°C<1%
- 32°C<1%
7 more
- 33°C<1%▼ 1
- 34°C<1%▼ 18
- 36°C<1%▼ 28
- 37°C<1%▼ 2
- 38°C<1%
- 39°C<1%
- 40°C or higher<1%
Highest temperature in NYC on October 21?
99%62-63°F
- 62-63°F99%▲ 53
- 60-61°F<1%▼ 8
- 68-69°F<1%
- 64-65°F<1%▼ 42
7 more
- 53°F or below<1%
- 54-55°F<1%
- 56-57°F<1%▼ 1
- 58-59°F<1%▼ 1
- 66-67°F<1%▼ 3
- 70-71°F<1%
- 72°F or higher<1%
Highest temperature in NYC on October 20?
>99%68-69°F
- 68-69°F>99%▲ 46
- 70-71°F<1%▼ 29
- 55°F or below<1%
- 56-57°F<1%
7 more
- 58-59°F<1%
- 60-61°F<1%
- 62-63°F<1%
- 64-65°F<1%▼ 3
- 66-67°F<1%▼ 12
- 72-73°F<1%▼ 2
- 74°F or higher<1%
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 21, 2026?
70.5median
6776
Median 70.5Middle half 70.2 – 70.8
How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
47%8
- 847%▲ 1
- Greater than 828%▲ 1
- 720%▼ 3
- Fewer than 5<1%
2 more
- 5<1%
- 6<1%
Highest temperature in Paris on October 21?
88%15°C
- 15°C88%▲ 39
- 16°C10%▲ 5
- 14°C1%▼ 39
- 13°C<1%▼ 5
7 more
- 17°C or higher<1%
- 7°C or below<1%
- 8°C<1%
- 9°C<1%
- 10°C<1%
- 11°C<1%
- 12°C<1%
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