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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 21, 2026?
Settled 71.00A day before, traders had a median of 70.5
The last odds before it closed
- ✓ 70° to 71°98%▲ 73
- 67° or below<1%▼ 1
- 68° to 69°<1%▼ 4
- 72° to 73°<1%▼ 62
- 74° to 75°<1%▼ 9
- 76° or above<1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Median: 72.3 on Oct 21, 70.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✗ 67° or below | <1% | 2.2K | ||||
| ✗ 68° to 69° | <1% | 14.8K | ||||
| ✓ 70° to 71° | 98% | 27.4K | ||||
| ✗ 72° to 73° | <1% | 16.3K | ||||
| ✗ 74° to 75° | <1% | 17.3K | ||||
| ✗ 76° or above | <1% | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chicago weather
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Chicago weather: 70s stick around through the weekend before a cooldownFOX 32 Chicago JD Rudd has your weather update! -
Chicago weather: Unseasonably warm weekend ahead, with highs in the 70sJD Rudd has your weather update! CHICAGO - By October standards, this type of weather is unusual. For those with outdoor events (like a Chicago Bears game), this type of weather is amazing. We're not setting any records, but our highs… -
Chicago weather: Mild fall days continue before a cool-down next weekFox Chicago Meteorologist JD Rudd breaks down tonight's weather outlook. CHICAGO - Fickle. That's the best word to describe our weather this time of year. It can change dramatically from day to day. Lucky for us, we are stuck on repeat… -
Chicago weather: Sunshine and 70s stick around through SundayCHICAGO - Today will be sunny with highs in the low 70s! Zero complaints from the weather department this week. Sunny skies roll on with us through the rest of the week. Thursday and Friday will both be around 70. This weekend will be… -
Chicago weather: Unseasonable warmth continues through weekendMike Caplan has your Chicago weather update! CHICAGO - The calendar may say late October, but Mother Nature has other plans, as unseasonable warmth will be in place right through the weekend. The rest of the day will be sunny and warm with… -
Full sun, mild on Thursday in ChicagoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Full sun, mild on… -
Loving the sunshine and mild conditions? There’s more where that came from!CBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Loving the sunshine and… -
Chicago weather: Areas of dense fog will be possible overnightFOX 32 Chicago Emily Wahls has your weather update! -
Chicago weather: Dense fog early, then unseasonably warm temps todayMike Caplan has your Chicago weather update! CHICAGO - Dry and warm to unseasonably-warm conditions persist through the weekend. The only bumps in the road will be some early-morning fog and a minor lake breeze each day. A Dense Fog… -
Unseasonable warmth continues through the weekendFOX 32 Chicago Mike Caplan has your Chicago weather update! -
Chicago weather: Unseasonably warm temperatures stick around all weekEmily Wahls has your weather update! CHICAGO - It was another day with above normal temperatures and plenty of sunshine. Monday's high temperatures soared into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees. Tonight will be mostly clear with areas of… -
Chicago weather: Above-normal temps expected through OctoberMike Caplan has your Chicago weather update! CHICAGO - It’s smooth sailing weather-wise this week and likely for the rest of the month. There will be little if any cloud cover and temperatures will be well above normal. Today’s highs will…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.