Movers

The prediction markets whose odds swung most in the last 24 hours, in percentage points, with the money that moved them. Markets that close within a day (whose odds drift to 0 or 100 as their moment passes) and thin ones are left out.

Rising

#	Market	Leading	Day	Today	Decided
1	Paris curfew announced by...?Europe · Polymarket	October 19 >99%	October 19 ▲ 99	$368K	Closes Oct 31
2	Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket	9°C 97%	9°C ▲ 96	$38.9K	For Tue 8:00 AM ET
3	Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket	80-81°F >99%	80-81°F ▲ 92	$18.6K	For Tue 8:00 AM ET
4	Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?Public health · Kalshi	Nigeria 100%	Nigeria ▲ 90	$9.2K	Closes Dec 31
5	Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?Posts & tweets · Polymarket	Median 329.5	320-339 ▲ 87	$516K	For Tue 12:00 PM ET
6	Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Atlético NacionalSoccer · Polymarket	Cúcuta Deportivo FC >99%	Cúcuta Deportivo FC ▲ 84	$273K	Starts Tue 7:30 PM ET
7	How high will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi	Above $1,640.00 46%	Above $1,860.00 ▲ 84	$19.2K	Closes Oct 31
8	Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?Music · Kalshi	Been By Now 99%	Boston ▲ 84	$4.5K	Closes Sun 11:59 PM ET
9	What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)Politicians · Kalshi	Third Term 100%	Third Term ▲ 83	$42.6K	Closes Mon 10:00 AM ET
10	FC Porto vs. PSVSoccer · Polymarket	PSV >99%	PSV ▲ 82	$602K	Starts Tue 3:00 PM ET
11	Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman SafiullinTennis · Polymarket	Sho Shimabukuro >99%	Sho Shimabukuro ▲ 82	$325K	Starts Tue 2:30 AM ET
12	Highest temperature in Panama City on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket	28°C 94%	28°C ▲ 80	$9.2K	For Tue 8:00 AM ET
13	Fenerbahçe SK vs. SK Slavia PrahaSoccer · Polymarket	Draw >99%	Draw ▲ 77	$629K	Starts Tue 12:45 PM ET
14	Middle Tennessee vs. Florida InternationalCollege football · Polymarket	Middle Tennessee >99%	Middle Tennessee ▲ 77	$576K	In play
15	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Portsmouth FCSoccer · Polymarket	Draw >99%	Draw ▲ 77	$109K	Starts Tue 2:45 PM ET
16	Ted Cruz # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?Posts & tweets · Polymarket	Median 149.6	140-159 ▲ 76	$3.6K	For Tue 12:00 PM ET
17	Tigres de la UANL vs. Club León FCSoccer · Polymarket	Club León FC >99%	Club León FC ▲ 75	$148K	Starts Tue 11:00 PM ET
18	Millonarios FC vs. Once CaldasSoccer · Polymarket	Draw >99%	Draw ▲ 75	$71.2K	In play
19	VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de MadridSoccer · Polymarket	Draw >99%	Draw ▲ 74	$2.1M	Starts Tue 3:00 PM ET
20	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria SnigurTennis · Polymarket	Katarzyna Kawa >99%	Katarzyna Kawa ▲ 74	$764K	Starts Tue 5:30 AM ET
21	Highest temperature in Denver on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket	70-71°F >99%	70-71°F ▲ 73	$12.3K	For Tue 8:00 AM ET
22	Burton Albion FC vs. Bradford City AFCSoccer · Polymarket	Draw >99%	Draw ▲ 72	$10.5K	In play
23	What will Intuitive Surgical say during their next earnings call? (Oct 20, 2026)Earnings calls · Kalshi	International 100%	Autonomy ▲ 71	$13.2K	Closes Jan 18, 2027
24	Who will AOC endorse? (Before Nov 3, 2026)Elections · Kalshi	Claire Valdez 91%	Darializa Avila… ▲ 71	$4.8K	Closes Nov 3
25	Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 2026)Internet & creators · Kalshi	Above 5M 97%	Above 4M ▲ 70	$31.7K	Closes Nov 4

Falling

#	Market	Leading	Day	Today	Decided
1	How low will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi	Below $820.00 55%	Below $550.00 ▼ 95	$6.1K	Closes Oct 31
2	Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse? (2028)More sports · Kalshi	Australia 99%	China ▼ 94	$4.9K	Closes Aug 1, 2028
3	30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?Rates & bonds · Kalshi	Median 3.82%	4% or above ▼ 92	$10.2K	Closes Dec 31, 2027
4	What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call? (Nov 4, 2026)Earnings calls · Kalshi	Tesla 100%	Data Center ▼ 91	$25.2K	Closes Mar 31, 2027
5	What will Netflix say during their next earnings call? (Oct 20, 2026)Earnings calls · Kalshi	NFL 100%	Acquisition ▼ 90	$13.9K	Closes Feb 1, 2027
6	What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina?Politicians · Kalshi	Transgender 100%	Sanctuary ▼ 83	$373K	Closes Nov 3
7	Regatas vs. OlimpicoNBA · Polymarket	Olimpico >99%	Regatas ▼ 79	$12.2K	In play
8	Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue WhalesMore sports · Polymarket	Sichuan Blue Whales >99%	Jilin Northeast Tigers ▼ 76	$94.8K	In play
9	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia RuzicTennis · Polymarket	Antonia Ruzic >99%	Paula Badosa ▼ 73	$504K	Starts Tue 12:00 AM ET
10	Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin MoutetTennis · Polymarket	Corentin Moutet >99%	Ugo Humbert ▼ 70	$2.1M	Starts Tue 8:00 AM ET
11	What will Eric Yuan say during Zoomtopia 2026 Keynote?Politicians · Kalshi	My Note 100%	Agentic ▼ 69	$3.4K	Closes Nov 3
12	New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Commodities · Kalshi	Median 4.17	Above 5.0000 ▼ 66	$22.7K	Closes Dec 30
13	Pro Football: Team Wins in First 12 Weeks (Week 12 2026-27)NFL · Kalshi	Philadelphia: 3+ wins in first 12… 99%	Las Vegas: 8+ wins in… ▼ 64	$3.6K	Closes Dec 8
14	Cali: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La SernaTennis · Polymarket	Juan Manuel La Serna >99%	Hugo Dellien ▼ 63	$855K	Starts Tue 1:40 PM ET
15	European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement ChidekhTennis · Polymarket	Clement Chidekh >99%	Botic van de… ▼ 61	$308K	Starts Tue 7:00 AM ET
16	Japan Women's Open: Claire Liu vs Magda LinetteTennis · Polymarket	Magda Linette >99%	Claire Liu ▼ 61	$144K	Starts Mon 10:30 PM ET
17	Lyon Open (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Reynolds/WattTennis · Polymarket	Reynolds/Watt >99%	Nys/Roger-Vasselin ▼ 61	$8.5K	In play
18	M25 Mumbai: ARADHYA KSHITIJ vs Samarth SahitaTennis · Polymarket	Samarth Sahita >99%	ARADHYA KSHITIJ ▼ 61	$12.6K	In play
19	Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong LionsMore sports · Polymarket	Guangzhou Loong Lions >99%	Nanjing Monkey King ▼ 60	$135K	In play
20	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise KouameTennis · Polymarket	Moise Kouame >99%	Lorenzo Sonego ▼ 59	$655K	Starts Mon 1:00 PM ET
21	What will SpaceX (SPCX) hit Week of October 19 2026?Stocks · Polymarket	↑ $162.50 62%	↓ $142.50 ▼ 59	$2.9K	Closes Fri 4:00 PM ET
22	South Alabama vs. MarshallCollege football · Polymarket	Marshall >99%	South Alabama ▼ 58	$905K	In play
23	European Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Raphael CollignonTennis · Polymarket	Raphael Collignon >99%	Nishesh Basavareddy ▼ 57	$26K	Starts Tue 1:30 PM ET
24	Energa Czarni Slupsk vs. Stal Ostrow WielkopolskiMore sports · Polymarket	Stal Ostrow Wielkopolski >99%	Energa Czarni Slupsk ▼ 57	$6.2K	In play
25	Lyon Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Kyrian JacquetTennis · Polymarket	Kyrian Jacquet >99%	Matteo Berrettini ▼ 56	$436K	Starts Tue 1:00 PM ET

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.