France declares state of emergency by...?
8%December 31
- October 211%
- October 312%▼ 1
- December 318%
Install
Paris curfew announced by...?
The odds
>99%October 19
- October 19>99%▲ 99
- October 21>99%▲ 95
- October 24>99%▲ 90
- October 31>99%▲ 89
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 19 | >99% | ▲ 99 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $143K | |
| October 21 | >99% | ▲ 95 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $156K | |
| October 24 | >99% | ▲ 90 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $52.8K | |
| October 31 | >99% | ▲ 89 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $32.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Paris
Search ›-
Macron issues warning to Paris looters, riotersFox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports on the aftermath of the Paris riots and President of France Emmanuel Macron's response to the looters. Macron issues warning to Paris looters, rioters Fox News senior… -
Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riotsFox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports from Paris on curfews imposed following widespread riots on ‘America’s Newsroom.’ ... Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riots Fox News senior foreign… -
Suspect in deadly Paris suburb shooting sent for psychiatric observationA man suspected of a deadly gun attack near Paris has left custody and been placed under psychiatric observation, French anti-terrorism officials have said. One person was killed and five others injured on Friday when an attacker opened… -
Videos Show Tear Gas, Fireworks Being Fired During Violent Paris ProtestsOct 25, 2026 at 11:06 AM EDT Tear gas filled streets in Paris once again as riot police faced masked protesters and fireworks during violent clashes that erupted at the end of a mass demonstration on Saturday. The clashes captured on video… -
NFL's Paris anthem sparks debate among fansNFL fans heard a very different version of "The Star-Spangled Banner" before the Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints kicked off Sunday in Paris. The performance quickly got people talking on social media. The Soul Rebels, an… -
NFL roundup: Falcons spoil Niners’ undefeated start; Steelers win in ParisBucs rout Panthers in Baker Mayfield’s returnBrowns move to 5-2 with late win over TitansJets hand Dolphins their first win of the seasonMichael Penix Jr threw three touchdown passes, Atlanta scored 13 points off four turnovers and the… -
French leaders hope for a peaceful day in Paris after protests lead to riotsCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 6am WBZ This Morning 8am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6am CBS Miami News Sunday Morning CBS News New York Sunday 8am KDKA News This Morning Sunday 8am -
Steelers beat Saints in NFL's first-ever game in Paris, 16-10October 25, 2026 / 12:45 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Chris Boswell kicked three field goals, and Aaron Rodgers threw for one touchdown and more than 200 yards as the Pittsburgh Steelers won the NFL's first-ever game played in Paris, 16-10. The… -
Embattled Paris prepares to host NFL game amid protest violence, thousands of arrestsThe NFL game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New Orleans Saints, scheduled for Sunday afternoon at Stade de France just north of central Paris, is still set to be played despite mass protests and thousands of arrests in the city… -
NFL overcomes civil unrest, Trump concerns and calls to postpone as Steelers and Saints kick off in ParisFrench President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests and implements curfews as violent clashes break out across France. Greg Palkot reports live from Paris, where businesses are boarding up windows in anticipation of a fresh wave of… -
NFL fans visiting Paris in high spirits for Saints vs. Steelers game, undeterred by protestsPARIS — American football fans brought high energy, chants and smiles to Stade de France on Sunday to watch the Pittsburgh Steelers face the New Orleans Saints. Some said the mass protests in the city were not an issue during their weekend… -
WWE Hall of Famer mocks women's champion while at NFL Paris game: 'What now Chelsea?'WWE Hall of Famer Nikki Bella talks to Fox News Digital about what her legacy wants to be when she retires from the sport. Nikki Bella has been in pursuit of singles gold since her return to WWE last year. She could take the strap off…
Related markets
All europe ›Curfew in a major French city by...?
>99%October 24
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- October 31>99%▲ 68
- November 15>99%▲ 63
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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
40%December 31, 2027
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France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
3%December 31
- October 311%
- November 151%
- December 313%▲ 1
Macron out by...?
6%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 20266%▲ 1
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
18%December 31, 2026
- October 31, 20263%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions