France declares state of emergency by...?
8%December 31
- October 211%
- October 312%▼ 1
- December 318%▼ 10
Install
Curfew in a major French city by...?
The odds
>99%October 24
- October 24>99%▲ 69
- October 31>99%▲ 68
- November 15>99%▲ 63
- December 31>99%▲ 49
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 24 | >99% | ▲ 69 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $127K | |
| October 31 | >99% | ▲ 68 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $31.1K | |
| November 15 | >99% | ▲ 63 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $28.7K | |
| December 31 | >99% | ▲ 49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $29.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Curfew
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Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riotsFox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports from Paris on curfews imposed following widespread riots on ‘America’s Newsroom.’ ... Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riots Fox News senior foreign… -
French President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests as curfews take effectGreg Palkot reports live from Paris on the violent protests spreading across France. French President Emmanuel Macron bans illegitimate protests and institutes curfews as shops board up windows to protect against looting. French President… -
Paris extends curfew as Marseille and Lyon ban protests after riotsParis is extending a partial curfew restricting movement in parts of the city until Monday, as Marseille and Lyon impose a total ban on protests this weekend. The Louvre, Orsay and Picasso museums in the French capital will also be closed… -
France Riots Put Hollywood Shoots on Alert as Curfews Disrupt Movie Theaters: It ‘Has Now Been Flagged as a Problem Area’In the same year that France has hosted two of television’s most glamorous and escapist international hits — the final season of Netflix’s “Emily in Paris” and Season 4 of HBO’s “The White Lotus” — the country has been shaken by one of its… -
Paris imposes nighttime curfew, deploying choppers and drones after looting spreePolice patrolled the streets of Paris as the French capital entered its second night of curfew following the looting that took place over the weekend. Multiple drones and helicopters were deployed above several areas of the capital. Police… -
TAKE THAT! TOWN BREAK THEIR CURFEWBy Sam Gardiner TAKELEY 0 CHERTSEY TN 4 Olorunfemi 12, Ridgley 52, Abisogun 59, Bowerman 90 ANGLE GRIND: Gary Abisogun scores the third for Chertsey PICTURE: Andy Pearson side Step 4 outfit are swept aside CHERTSEY progressed with a… -
France unrest: Partial curfews announced in Paris, other cities after violenceSun, Oct 25, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 13, 1448 | Fajr 05:04|DXB 32°C France announced partial curfews in Paris and other cities on Monday after weekend demonstrations over soaring prices degenerated into some of the worst street violence in… -
UK tightens France travel advice as protests spark curfewsThe UK has updated its France travel advice after nationwide protests led to partial night-time curfews in Paris, Lyon and other cities, disrupting visits and transport. The United Kingdom has updated its official travel advice for France… -
Limoges Under Curfew After City Hall FireThis story is part of our coverage of the why France is in crisis. Dates, times and how to follow it are in our guide. Latest: Paris Police Ban Union March Route The French city of Limoges is under a night curfew a week after rioters… -
Oyo Police Deny Curfew Rumours in IbadanThe Oyo State Police Command on Saturday dismissed rumours of a curfew in the state, assuring residents that there were no movement restrictions within or outside Ibadan. The command’s spokesperson, Olayinka Ayanlade, said in a statement… -
Mauritius Imposes Overnight Curfew Amid Violent Protests Over Water Shortages and Cost of LivingAt SSBCrack News, our dedicated editorial team brings you the latest and most reliable updates on Defence, Geopolitics, Military Affairs, Science, and Technology. Driven by a passion for national security and strategic awareness, the… -
Protests Banned, Curfews Declared Ahead Of Major Mobilization In FranceHundreds of thousands are set to take to the streets in cities across France on Saturday, October 24, once again protesting austerity and the cost of living crisis. Demonstrations are set to go ahead despite an extremely repressive…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions