Elections odds

The 2026 midterms race by race, the 2028 presidential field and elections around the world, priced by the people betting on them.

4,284 open markets · $8.3M traded today

Trending elections markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
  • Gavin Newsom9%
50 more
  • Marco Rubio9%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%▼ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
  • Kamala Harris7%
49 more
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Bernie Sanders2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%▼ 3
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 2
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
39 more
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

California Governor Election Winner

96%Xavier Becerra
  • Xavier Becerra96%
  • Steve Hilton3%▼ 1
  • Tom Steyer<1%
  • Rick Caruso<1%
19 more
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Katie Porter<1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
  • Stephen Cloobeck<1%
  • Butch Ware<1%
  • Betty Yee<1%
  • Toni Atkins<1%
  • Kyle Langford<1%
  • Chad Bianco<1%
  • Eleni Kounalakis<1%
  • Daniel Mercuri<1%
  • Tony Thurmond<1%
  • Michael Younger<1%
  • Leo Zacky<1%
  • Nicole Shanahan<1%
  • Eric Swalwell<1%
  • Kamala Harris<1%
  • Matt Mahan<1%
  • Elaine Culotti<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 3 · $23.1K today · $42.1M traded

Next French Presidential Election

46%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
  • Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
  • David Lisnard12%
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
41 more
  • Raphaël Glucksmann5%
  • François Hollande2%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Christine Lagarde1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%
PolymarketCloses Apr 18, 2027 · $669K today · $154M traded

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

79%Magdalena Andersson
  • Magdalena Andersson79%▲ 1
  • Ulf Kristersson16%▼ 1
  • Ebba Busch2%
  • Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist2%▼ 2
6 more
  • Jimmie Åkesson<1%▼ 1
  • Anna-Karin Hatt<1%
  • Nooshi Dadgostar<1%
  • Simona Mohamsson<1%
  • Amanda Lind<1%
  • Daniel Helldén<1%
PolymarketResult pending · $96.8K today · $10.3M traded

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

98%Luca Niculescu
  • Luca Niculescu98%▲ 2
  • Alexandru Nazare<1%
  • Ilie Bolojan<1%
  • Siegfried Mureșan<1%
34 more
  • Sorin Grindeanu<1%
  • George Simion<1%
  • Alexandru Rogobete<1%
  • Eugen Tomac<1%
  • Traian Basescu<1%
  • Victor Ponta<1%
  • Leonardo Badea<1%▼ 1
  • Lucian Croitoru<1%
  • Dragoș Pîslaru<1%
  • Mugur Isărescu<1%
  • Mircea Geoană<1%
  • Anca Dragu<1%
  • Lucian Isar<1%
  • Cătălin Predoiu<1%
  • Marcel Ciolacu<1%
  • Alexandru Rafila<1%
  • Sebastian Burduja<1%
  • Ionuț Dumitru<1%
  • Elena Lasconi<1%
  • Cătălin Drulă<1%
  • Vasile Dîncu<1%
  • Dacian Cioloș<1%
  • Emil Boc<1%
  • Dominic Fritz<1%
  • Raluca Turcan<1%
  • Delia Velculescu<1%
  • Nicolae Ciucă<1%
  • Hunor Kelemen<1%
  • Calin Georgescu<1%
  • Radu Burnete<1%
  • Șerban Matei<1%
  • Dan Motreanu<1%
  • Ciprian Ciucu<1%
  • Adrian Veștea<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $32.1K today · $5.5M traded

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

46%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
  • Flávio Bolsonaro <4%46%▲ 7
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%24%▼ 6
  • Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 1
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%8%▼ 1
4 more
  • Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%▼ 1
  • Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
  • Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
  • Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
PolymarketCloses Oct 25 · $36K today · $2.9M traded

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.