Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $639K today · $1.3B traded · $8.5M at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%▼ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
  • Jon Ossoff15%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris7%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
41 more
  • Bernie Sanders2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Gavin Newsom 16% ▼ 2 16¢ 16¢ $6.29 $28M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% 15¢ 16¢ $6.37 $15.5M
Jon Ossoff 15% ▲ 1 15¢ 15¢ $6.62 $13.5M
Kamala Harris 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 7¢ $15.15 $14.1M
Josh Shapiro 6% 6¢ 6¢ $17.86 $10.3M
Pete Buttigieg 5% 5¢ 5¢ $20.00 $12.3M
Andy Beshear 3% 3¢ 3¢ $30.30 $13.5M
James Talarico 3% 3¢ 3¢ $37.04 $11.1M
Mark Kelly 2% 2¢ 3¢ $40.00 $17.7M
Wes Moore 2% 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 $18.5M
Raphael Warnock 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $34.4M
Rahm Emanuel 2% 2¢ 2¢ $62.50 $14.7M
Bernie Sanders 2% 1¢ 2¢ $52.63 $52.9M
Ro Khanna 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $11.5M
J.B. Pritzker 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $15.9M
Chelsea Clinton 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $50.9M
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $12.5M
Cory Booker 1% 1¢ 1¢ $26.3M
Gretchen Whitmer 1% 1¢ 1¢ $12.1M
Jon Stewart 1% 1¢ 1¢ $24.8M
Chris Murphy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $17.6M
Michelle Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ $26.4M
Ruben Gallego <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9M
Chris Van Hollen <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2M
Mark Cuban <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23.3M
Roy Cooper <1% 0¢ 0¢ $31.8M
Barack Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ $34.4M
Stephen A. Smith <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23.2M
Gina Raimondo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $35.8M
Zohran Mamdani <1% 0¢ 0¢ $39M
Jared Polis <1% 0¢ 0¢ $27.5M
Hillary Clinton <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.2M
Phil Murphy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $42.9M
LeBron James <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.3M
Hunter Biden <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.7M
Jasmine Crockett <1% 0¢ 0¢ $36.5M
Abigail Spanberger <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.1M
Hakeem Jeffries <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.1M
Elissa Slotkin <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.7M
Josh Stein <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.5M
Mitch Landrieu <1% 0¢ 0¢ $827K
Tim Walz <1% 0¢ $43.9M
John Fetterman <1% 0¢ $25.7M
Liz Cheney <1% 0¢ $38.7M
George Clooney <1% 0¢ $43.5M
MrBeast <1% 0¢ $41.1M
Oprah Winfrey <1% 0¢ $54.4M
Andrew Yang <1% 0¢ $48.9M
Beto O’Rourke <1% 0¢ $42.8M
Kim Kardashian <1% 0¢ $42.9M
Graham Platner <1% 0¢ $8.5M
Adam Schiff <1% 0¢ $703K
Alex Padilla <1% 0¢ $1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Jon Ossoff16%
  • Kamala Harris8%
10 more
  • Josh Shapiro7%
  • Pete Buttigieg7%
  • Andy Beshear5%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • Wes Moore4%
  • Ro Khanna3%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
  • Cory Booker3%
  • Tim Walz3%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $680 today · $680 traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
  • Jon Ossoff14%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris8%
48 more
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%
  • Rahm Emanuel3%
  • Raphael Warnock3%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Stephen A. Smith1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mitch Landrieu1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Chris Van Hollen1%
  • David Jolly1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries1%
  • Sherrod Brown1%
  • Mary Peltola1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Dwayne Johnson<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Beto O'Rourke<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Elizabeth Warren<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $59.3K today · $8.5M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Democratic Presidential, Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
51 more
  • Gavin Newsom9%
  • Marco Rubio9%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.