Predictions › Elections odds Every President 2028 market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
4,025 open markets · $9.5M traded today Trending president 2028 markets
JD Vance 20% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Jon Ossoff 10% ▼ 1 Gavin Newsom 9% 50 more Marco Rubio 9% ▲ 1 Kamala Harris 4% Ron DeSantis 3% ▲ 1 Josh Shapiro 3% Pete Buttigieg 3% Andy Beshear 2% Tucker Carlson 2% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 2% James Talarico 1% Donald Trump 1% Mark Kelly 1% Raphael Warnock 1% Wes Moore 1% Ro Khanna 1% Thomas Massie 1% JB Pritzker 1% Ted Cruz 1% Rahm Emanuel 1% Ivanka Trump 1% Donald Trump Jr. 1% Gretchen Whitmer <1% Jamie Dimon <1% Glenn Youngkin <1% Greg Abbott <1% Elon Musk <1% Michelle Obama <1% Stephen Smith <1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Nikki Haley <1% Tim Walz <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% LeBron James <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Eric Trump <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Jalen Brunson <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Adam Schiff <1% Josh Stein <1% Alex Padilla <1% Candace Owens <1% Tim Scott <1% Mike Johnson <1% Doug Burgum <1% Tom Cotton <1% John N. Kennedy <1% Rick Scott <1%
Gavin Newsom 16% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% Jon Ossoff 15% Kamala Harris 7% ▼ 1 49 more Josh Shapiro 6% Pete Buttigieg 5% Andy Beshear 3% James Talarico 3% Mark Kelly 2% Wes Moore 2% Raphael Warnock 2% Rahm Emanuel 2% Bernie Sanders 2% Ro Khanna 1% J.B. Pritzker 1% Chelsea Clinton 1% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% Cory Booker 1% Gretchen Whitmer 1% Jon Stewart 1% Michelle Obama <1% Chris Murphy <1% Ruben Gallego <1% Chris Van Hollen <1% Mark Cuban <1% Roy Cooper <1% Barack Obama <1% Stephen A. Smith <1% Gina Raimondo <1% Zohran Mamdani <1% Jared Polis <1% Hillary Clinton <1% Phil Murphy <1% LeBron James <1% Hunter Biden <1% Jasmine Crockett <1% Abigail Spanberger <1% Hakeem Jeffries <1% Elissa Slotkin <1% Josh Stein <1% Mitch Landrieu <1% Tim Walz <1% John Fetterman <1% Liz Cheney <1% George Clooney <1% MrBeast <1% Oprah Winfrey <1% Andrew Yang <1% Beto O’Rourke <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Graham Platner <1% Adam Schiff <1% Alex Padilla <1%
J.D. Vance 44% Marco Rubio 15% ▲ 1 Tucker Carlson 3% Ron DeSantis 3% ▼ 1 39 more Ted Cruz 2% Donald Trump 2% Donald Trump Jr. 2% Ivanka Trump 1% Thomas Massie 1% Brian Kemp 1% Tulsi Gabbard <1% Pete Hegseth <1% Glenn Youngkin <1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% Josh Hawley <1% Rand Paul <1% Marjorie Taylor Greene <1% Tom Cotton <1% Vivek Ramaswamy <1% Katie Britt <1% Candace Owens <1% Nikki Haley <1% Sarah Huckabee Sanders <1% Greg Abbott <1% Byron Donalds <1% Elise Stefanik <1% Elon Musk <1% Kristi Noem <1% Mike Pence <1% Steve Bannon <1% Eric Trump <1% Joe Kent <1% John N. Kennedy <1% John McEntee <1% Matt Gaetz <1% John Thune <1% Tom Brady <1% Erika Kirk <1% Kim Kardashian <1% Tim Scott <1% Mike Johnson <1% Doug Burgum <1% Rick Scott <1%
Democrats Sweep 62% R Senate, D House 28% ▲ 1 Republicans Sweep 8% D Senate, R House 1% 1 more
Democratic Party 92% ▲ 1 Republican Party 9% ▼ 1
Nithya Raman 51% ▼ 2 Karen Bass 49% ▲ 3
46.5 57.5
Median 48.3 Middle half 47.2 – 50.4
Pete Buttigieg 34% ▼ 7 Rahm Emanuel 25% ▲ 1 Phil Murphy 17% ▲ 5 Ron DeSantis 14% 67 more Gavin Newsom 14% Andy Beshear 13% ▲ 1 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Mark Kelly 12% Raphael Warnock 10% Gina Raimondo 8% Ted Cruz 8% Glenn Youngkin 7% Kamala Harris 7% Cory Booker 7% Don Lemon 7% J.B. Pritzker 7% Rand Paul 7% Beto O’Rourke 6% ▲ 1 J.D. Vance 6% Nikki Haley 6% Josh Shapiro 6% Vivek Ramaswamy 6% Brian Kemp 6% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% Josh Hawley 5% Jon Stewart 5% Jon Ossoff 5% Andrew Yang 5% George Clooney 5% Greg Abbott 4% Hunter Biden 4% Tucker Carlson 4% ▲ 1 Marco Rubio 4% Tom Brady 4% ▼ 1 Liz Cheney 4% Donald Trump Jr. 4% ▼ 1 Erika Kirk 4% Marjorie Taylor Greene 4% Oprah Winfrey 4% John Thune 4% Gretchen Whitmer 3% Zohran Mamdani 3% John Fetterman 3% Kristi Noem 3% Wes Moore 3% Ivanka Trump 3% Donald Trump 3% Steve Bannon 3% Candace Owens 3% Elise Stefanik 3% ▼ 1 Elon Musk 3% Michelle Obama 3% Katie Britt 3% Matt Gaetz 3% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 3% Jared Polis 2% ▲ 1 Bernie Sanders 2% Barack Obama 2% Mike Pence 2% Kim Kardashian 2% Tulsi Gabbard 2% LeBron James 2% MrBeast 2% Roy Cooper 1%
Pete Buttigieg 90% ▲ 1 Andy Beshear 87% ▲ 1 Rahm Emanuel 85% ▼ 1 Josh Shapiro 81% ▲ 3 34 more J.B. Pritzker 81% Gavin Newsom 81% Ro Khanna 80% ▲ 1 Wes Moore 77% ▲ 1 Cory Booker 74% ▼ 2 Mark Kelly 69% ▲ 2 Kamala Harris 65% ▲ 1 Chris Murphy 64% ▼ 1 Mitch Landrieu 64% ▼ 1 Chris Van Hollen 62% ▼ 1 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 58% ▼ 2 Elissa Slotkin 57% ▼ 7 Jon Ossoff 55% ▲ 1 Raphael Warnock 53% ▲ 1 Ruben Gallego 51% ▲ 1 Jared Polis 38% Phil Murphy 32% ▼ 1 Shawn Fain 32% Stephen A. Smith 30% ▲ 4 Gretchen Whitmer 28% ▼ 1 Abigail Spanberger 22% ▲ 1 Dean Phillips 22% ▲ 1 Mikie Sherrill 22% John Fetterman 12% Hunter Biden 12% ▲ 2 James Talarico 12% ▲ 1 Jon Stewart 11% Roy Cooper 10% Mark Cuban 9% Michelle Obama 8% Amy Klobuchar 8% ▲ 1 Tim Walz 7% Hillary Clinton 4% Barack Obama 3%
Democrats 8-10% 28% Democrats 6-8% 19% ▲ 1 Democrats 10-12% 17% Democrats 12-14% 10% 9 more Democrats 4-6% 8% ▼ 1 Democrats 0-2% 3% Democrats 14-16% 3% ▼ 1 Democrats 2-4% 3% ▼ 2 Democrats 16%+ 3% ▲ 1 Republicans 4-6% 3% Republicans 0-2% 2% Republicans 2-4% 2% Republicans 6%+ 1%
186 234
Median 201.4 Middle half 190.4 – 207.9
Democratic party 59% Republican party 41%
Democratic Sweep 47% ▼ 4 Republican Sweep 14% ▼ 1 D-House, R-Senate, D-President 7% D-House, R-Senate, R-President 7% 4 more R-House, D-Senate, R-President 3% R-House, R-Senate, D-President 3% D-House, D-Senate, R-President 2% R-House, D-Senate, D-President 1%
Marco Rubio 27% J.D. Vance 6% Katie Britt 4% Donald J. Trump Jr. 4% 19 more Ron DeSantis 2% Sarah Huckabee Sanders 2% Erika Kirk 2% Tulsi Gabbard 2% Donald J. Trump 2% Byron Donalds 2% Glenn Youngkin 2% Tim Scott 2% Eric Schmitt 2% Elise Stefanik 1% Josh Hawley 1% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1% Nikki Haley 1% Ted Cruz 1% Greg Abbott 1% Brian Kemp 1% Elon Musk 1% John Thune <1% Matt Gaetz <1%
Ted Cruz 82% J.D. Vance 79% Ron DeSantis 66% ▲ 1 Marco Rubio 55% 34 more Rand Paul 51% ▲ 8 Thomas Massie 47% ▼ 1 Glenn Youngkin 38% ▼ 1 Chris Christie 36% ▼ 1 Brian Kemp 35% John McEntee 31% ▼ 1 Tulsi Gabbard 30% ▼ 1 Pete Hegseth 28% Tucker Carlson 27% Vivek Ramaswamy 26% ▲ 2 Doug Burgum 26% ▼ 1 Donald J. Trump Jr. 25% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 25% Gregory Bovino 25% ▲ 5 Sarah Huckabee Sanders 24% ▼ 1 Nikki Haley 22% ▲ 1 Steve Bannon 22% Byron Donalds 19% John Kennedy 18% ▼ 1 Donald J. Trump 17% ▲ 1 Spencer Pratt 16% Greg Abbott 15% Marjorie Taylor Greene 15% ▲ 1 Jeff Bezos 15% ▼ 1 Tim Scott 14% ▼ 1 Elise Stefanik 13% Josh Hawley 13% Erika Kirk 13% Larry Hogan 12% ▼ 1 Jared Kushner 11% ▼ 2 Katie Britt 11% John Thune 6% Matt Gaetz 4% Elon Musk 3%
Elissa Slotkin 10% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9% Pete Buttigieg 7% James Talarico 6% ▲ 1 41 more Wes Moore 6% Andy Beshear 6% Gretchen Whitmer 5% Jon Ossoff 4% Mark Kelly 4% Raphael Warnock 3% Josh Shapiro 3% Gavin Newsom 3% Kamala Harris 2% Michelle Obama 2% Ruben Gallego 2% Ro Khanna 2% Amy Klobuchar 2% J.B. Pritzker 1% Roy Cooper 1% Rahm Emanuel 1% Jon Stewart 1% Stephen A. Smith 1% Cory Booker 1% Chris Murphy 1% Jamie Dimon 1% Zohran Mamdani 1% Barack Obama 1% Beto O'Rourke 1% Bernie Sanders 1% Dwayne Johnson 1% Graham Platner 1% Gina Raimondo 1% Hillary Clinton 1% Jared Polis 1% Andrew Yang 1% Elizabeth Warren 1% Hunter Biden 1% Jasmine Crockett 1% Liz Cheney 1% LeBron James 1% Phil Murphy 1% Tim Walz <1% Mark Cuban <1% John Fetterman <1% Tony Evers <1%
Reaches 12% 14% Reaches 15% 2% Reaches 20% 1% Falls to 7% 24% Falls to 5% 5% Already reached: ↓ 8%
Gavin Newsom 36% ▲ 8 Jon Ossoff 32% ▲ 8 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 31% ▼ 8 Kamala Harris 1% 1 more
Reaches 40% 37% Reaches 45% 4% Reaches 50% 2% Falls to 30% 16% Falls to 25% 6% Already reached: ↓ 35%
Andy Beshear 88% Ted Cruz 83% J.D. Vance 79% ▼ 2 Pete Buttigieg 79% ▼ 1 67 more Gavin Newsom 77% Ron DeSantis 65% ▲ 1 Josh Shapiro 64% ▼ 1 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 63% ▲ 1 Rahm Emanuel 63% ▲ 1 Cory Booker 60% Mark Kelly 57% ▲ 1 J.B. Pritzker 56% Kamala Harris 55% Andrew Yang 54% ▼ 1 Rand Paul 54% ▲ 14 Wes Moore 52% ▼ 8 Jon Ossoff 51% Brian Kemp 50% ▲ 4 Raphael Warnock 49% ▲ 1 Marco Rubio 43% ▲ 1 Phil Murphy 42% ▼ 3 Hunter Biden 42% ▲ 11 Katie Britt 38% ▼ 1 Jared Polis 36% Josh Hawley 36% ▲ 1 Glenn Youngkin 34% Gretchen Whitmer 32% Steve Bannon 28% ▼ 1 John Fetterman 26% Greg Abbott 25% Elise Stefanik 25% ▼ 1 Nikki Haley 25% Byron Donalds 25% Marjorie Taylor Greene 25% ▼ 1 Vivek Ramaswamy 24% Don Lemon 23% Roy Cooper 21% ▼ 1 Sarah Huckabee Sanders 21% Stephen A. Smith 20% Candace Owens 20% Gina Raimondo 19% ▼ 3 Tulsi Gabbard 19% ▼ 1 Mark Cuban 19% Jon Stewart 18% Kristi Noem 18% ▼ 1 Tucker Carlson 17% John Thune 16% ▲ 1 Mike Pence 16% ▲ 1 Tom Brady 16% Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 16% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 16% Michelle Obama 15% Matt Gaetz 15% Donald Trump Jr. 14% ▼ 1 Liz Cheney 14% Kim Kardashian 14% George Clooney 13% Oprah Winfrey 13% Elon Musk 13% Donald Trump 12% Bernie Sanders 12% Beto O’Rourke 12% Chelsea Clinton 11% LeBron James 11%
-0.50 4.50
Median 2.57 Middle half 1.68 – 3.05
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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Presidential Election Winner 2028 
