State & local odds

Every State & local market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.

4,281 open markets · $8.6M traded today

Trending state & local markets

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

76%Olivia Chow
  • Olivia Chow76%
  • Brad Bradford24%▼ 1
  • Ana Bailão<1%
  • Michael Ford<1%
4 more
  • Anthony Furey<1%
  • Marco Mendicino<1%
  • John Tory<1%
  • Kevin Clarke<1%
PolymarketCloses Oct 26 · $1.9K today · $428K traded

Providence Mayor winner? (2026)

98%David Morales
  • David Morales98%
  • Brett Smiley1%
  • David Talan1%
  • Michael English<1%
1 more
  • Allen Waters<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $21 today · $171K traded

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

53%Helen Zille
  • Helen Zille53%▲ 2
  • David Makhura23%▼ 3
  • Frank Chikane7%
  • Lukhona Mnguni5%▼ 1
4 more
  • Herman Mashaba4%▲ 4
  • Kenny Kunene4%
  • Loyiso Masuku4%
  • Dada Morero1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $381 today · $128K traded

Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?

36%Haniff Hoosen
  • Haniff Hoosen36%▼ 12
  • Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi27%▲ 3
  • Mkhuleko Hlengwa11%▼ 1
  • Philani Mavundla6%▼ 1
9 more
  • Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi5%
  • Thabani Nyawose4%▼ 2
  • Cyril Xaba3%▼ 1
  • Zandile Gumede1%
  • Maggie Govender1%
  • Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi<1%
  • Zwakele Mncwango<1%
  • Nomusa Dube-Ncube<1%
  • Mina Soma-Lesoma<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 4 · $1.4K today · $34.9K traded

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright? (Nov 3, 2026)

96%Lieutenant Governor
  • Lieutenant Governor96%
  • Secretary of State96%
  • Attorney General95%
  • Governor95%
5 more
  • Senate94%
  • Commissioner of Agriculture94%
  • Commissioner of Labor92%
  • State Superintendent of Schools92%
  • Commissioner of Insurance92%
KalshiCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $60 today · $41.7K traded

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

89%Mark Sutcliffe
  • Mark Sutcliffe89%▼ 1
  • Jeff Leiper5%▲ 1
  • Alex Lawson2%▼ 2
  • Neil Saravanamuttoo1%
1 more
  • Catherine McKenney<1%
PolymarketCloses Oct 26 · $975 today · $96.9K traded

Which ballot measures will pass in Arkansas?

97%Citizens Only Voting Amendment
  • Citizens Only Voting Amendment97%
  • Right to Keep and Bear Arms Amendment96%▲ 1
  • Water Infrastructure Bond Question90%▲ 1
  • Economic Development Districts Amendment79%▲ 2
KalshiCloses Nov 2, 2027 · $41.8K traded

Which ballot measures will pass in California? (2026)

91%Proposition 3
  • Proposition 391%▲ 2
  • Proposition 286%▲ 1
  • Proposition 3781%
  • Proposition 4275%▼ 2
9 more
  • Proposition 174%▲ 6
  • Proposition 3855%▲ 1
  • Proposition 4152%▲ 2
  • Proposition 4550%▲ 5
  • Proposition 441%▲ 1
  • Proposition 532%
  • Proposition 4331%▲ 1
  • Proposition 3920%▼ 2
  • Proposition 4410%▼ 3
KalshiCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $549 today · $14.8K traded

Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

86%Proposition 141
  • Proposition 14186%▼ 2
  • Proposition 31686%▼ 4
  • Proposition 31982%▼ 2
  • Proposition 31775%▲ 3
4 more
  • Proposition 14266%▼ 4
  • Proposition 14463%▲ 41
  • Proposition 31861%▲ 51
  • Proposition 32053%▲ 52
KalshiCloses Nov 2, 2027 · $202 today · $26.5K traded

Chicago Mayor winner? (2027)

66%Alexi Giannoulias
  • Alexi Giannoulias66%▲ 4
  • Brandon Johnson16%
  • Susana Mendoza10%▲ 6
  • Willie Wilson5%▲ 1
13 more
  • Mike Quigley3%▲ 1
  • Matt Brewer2%▲ 1
  • Joe Holberg1%
  • George Cardenas<1%
  • Liam Stanton<1%
  • Lisa Madigan<1%
  • Lisa Nee<1%
  • John Kitover<1%
  • Toni Brooks<1%
  • Maria Pappas<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Paul Vallas<1%
  • Kam Buckner<1%
KalshiCloses Feb 23, 2028 · $1.8K today · $29.2K traded

Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?

28%Xolani Khumalo
  • Xolani Khumalo28%▼ 3
  • Khathutshelo Rasilingwane21%▲ 7
  • Jongizizwe Dlabathi16%▼ 2
  • Nthabiseng Tshivenga10%▼ 2
5 more
  • Nomadlozi Nkosi7%▼ 3
  • Nkosindiphile Xhakaza5%
  • Ntombi Mekgwe4%▼ 1
  • Thulani Shongwe2%
  • Pelisa Nkunjana1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 4 · $430 today · $45.2K traded

Mississauga Mayoral Election Winner

44%Carolyn Parrish
  • Carolyn Parrish44%▼ 12
  • Bonnie Crombie38%▲ 4
  • Alvin Tedjo17%▲ 10
  • Dipika Damerla1%
3 more
  • Zulfiqar Ali<1%
  • Rahul Mehta<1%
  • George Tavares<1%
PolymarketCloses Oct 26 · $2.6K today · $26.7K traded

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.