Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
55%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman55%
- Karen Bass45%
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How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win in 2026?
The odds
1.64median
020
Median 1.64
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.84 on Oct 19, 1.64 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1 | 61% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 426 | |
| At least 2 | 44% | 41¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 1.3K | |
| At least 3 | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 33.00 | |
| At least 4 | 20% | ▲ 1 | 16¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 12.00 |
| At least 8 | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.00 |
| At least 12 | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 16 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas
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Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’The Senate candidate denounced opponent Ken Paxton, calling out corruption allegations and support from Musk James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Texas, has taken aim at Elon Musk, warning that the tech mogul is… -
Ken Paxton blasts James Talarico as 'radical Democrat' during Texas campaign stopTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton criticized Democratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico during a campaign stop, accusing him of supporting socialist policies. Ken Paxton blasts James Talarico as 'radical Democrat' during Texas… -
Texas GOP’s Bet on Latinos May Backfire—How Democrats Could Seal the DealOct 23, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map last year on the assumption that Latino voters who broke for President Donald Trump in 2024 would stay with the party. With less than two weeks until… -
Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country Festival gets underway in WaxahachieCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Crossroads of Texas Go… -
Texas: Democrats' eternal hopeDemocrats have long seen Texas as the next state for their politicians and ideas to break through, but they haven't won a statewide race there since 1994. We look at why they think this year may break that trend.This episode: voting… -
WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, TexasTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters during a "Come and Take It" campaign tour stop in Selma, Texas. WATCH LIVE: Texas AG Ken Paxton holds campaign event in Selma, Texas Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton rallies supporters… -
Baseball bat vendor discusses the draw at the Crossroads of Texas Go Texan Country FestivalCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Baseball bat vendor… -
Texas has considered selling beloved state park to SpaceX / Texas MonthlyCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Texas has considered… -
Data Dive: Can a Democrat win statewide in Texas?NBC News Data Dive: Can a Democrat win statewide in Texas? -
Bush family members back Democrat James Talarico in Texas Senate raceFrom left: Neil Bush, George W Bush, and George HW Bush Two members of the Bush family, the Republican political dynasty that counts Texas as its political launchpad, have backed Democrat James Talarico in the hotly fought race for a… -
Perfect fall weekend weather in store for North TexasAdd CBS News on Google North Texas was off to a seasonable start on Saturday morning, with temperatures mainly in the 50s. Temperatures will remain above average this weekend, with highs in the lower to middle 80s. Perfect fall weekend… -
DeSoto dominates Cedar Hill in CBS Texas Game of the WeekCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. DeSoto dominates Cedar…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions