Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
82%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow82%▲ 19
- Brad Bradford18%▼ 19
- Ana Bailão<1%
5 more
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
Install
Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
The odds
55%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman55%
- Karen Bass45%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Nithya Raman: 51% on Oct 20, 55% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 55% | 54¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 21.7M | |
| Karen Bass | 45% | ▼ 1 | 44¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 21.1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Los Angeles Mayor, Nithya Raman, Karen Bass
Search ›-
Did Karen Bass Expand Film Incentives? Nithya Raman Campaign Flags ‘Whopper’ ClaimNithya Raman‘s campaign is calling out L.A. Mayor Karen Bass for taking credit for expanding the state film and TV incentive in a recent TV ad. In the ad, Bass looks to the camera and says: “With the film industry struggling, I cut fees… -
Inside the ‘bad will’ for Nithya Raman at LA City HallNithya Raman is facing “a full-on, multiple-person verbal assault” from her City Council colleagues, not one of whom has endorsed her. If Raman wins, her ambitious agenda may depend on her ability to persuade a council majority to go… -
Fed-up LA voters rage about Karen Bass — but fear Nithya Raman is even worse: ‘She rolled her eyes’Los Angeles voters are facing a grim choice in the race for mayor, with some so disillusioned by Karen Bass’ leadership that they are backing her for another four years simply because they believe her challenger would be even worse. The… -
Mayor Karen Bass outraises Councilmember Nithya Raman in Nov. 3 runoffLos Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has outraised challenger Nithya Raman in fundraising for the Nov. 3 runoff election, the latest campaign finance reports show, pulling in about $3.4 million to Raman’s $3 million. Bass collected $827,000 in… -
L.A. Has a 911 Problem. Can Karen Bass or Nithya Raman Fix It?At a Friday press conference, Mayor Karen Bass addressed L.A.’s troubled 911 system, but questions persist about how quickly City Hall can deliver meaningful change • 21 hours ago Los Angeles has no shortage of political promises about… -
Karen Bass is not who you think she isBy David Siders and Christopher Cadelago 08/06/2020 11:47 AM EDT Karen Bass was speaker of the California Assembly when a Republican lawmaker in 2009 was caught on a hot mic boasting in lurid detail about an affair he said he had with a… -
Nithya Raman pushes more public toilets despite crappy $1M Runyon Canyon bathroom fiascoLos Angeles mayoral candidate Nithya Raman is pushing to build more public toilets across the city, despite a nearly $1 million bathroom debacle in her own district that left hikers waiting months to use just two stalls. The councilwoman… -
Karen Bass desperately needs the voters who hate her most — and Spencer Pratt may hold the keySpencer Pratt lost his home in the Palisades Fire. Then he ran for mayor on one message: Karen Bass failed the Palisades. More than 200,000 voters believed him. Now the mayor’s political life is in their hands. Pratt didn’t mince words. He… -
Karen Bass Is Collapsing But Does Los Angeles Know What It’s Getting With Nithya Raman?THE BOTTOM LINE - Bass is hemorrhaging voter confidence. But rejecting the incumbent and embracing Raman’s political agenda are two very different things. Los Angeles voters appear ready to fire Karen Bass. The more consequential question… -
Watch Nithya Raman’s garbled interview when grilled on police comments: ‘I don’t know… I don’t know’Los Angeles mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman was left scrambling when asked to name a police chief she admires — an awkward moment for the councilwoman already facing blowback over her praise of controversial former LAPD Chief Daryl Gates… -
Karen Bass faces political gulag after Nithya ‘Red’ Raman’s revolutionary poll surgeThe poll results are in, comrades, and it looks like deep-blue LA is about to fall to the reds. The California Poll survey, conducted among 400 likely voters from Oct. 15 to 18, shows that socialist Nithya Raman has an eight-point lead on… -
Nithya Raman walks back "gold standard" comment about former LAPD Chief Daryl GatesOctober 21, 2026 / 10:06 PM PDT / CBS LA Los Angeles City Council member and mayoral candidate Nithya Raman is walking back recent comments about controversial former LAPD Chief Daryl Gates. "This city used to be the gold standard in terms…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions