New York Attorney General winner? (2026)
94%Letitia James
- Letitia James94%▲ 5
- Saritha Komatireddy6%▼ 4
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Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
The last odds before it closed
>99%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow>99%▲ 23
- Brad Bradford<1%▼ 22
- Ana Bailão<1%
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
How the odds have moved
Olivia Chow: 75% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETOlivia Chow: 52% → 65%
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETOlivia Chow: 65% → 47%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Chow | >99% | ▲ 23 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $68K | |
| Brad Bradford | <1% | ▼ 22 | 0¢ | $549K | ||
| Ana Bailão | <1% | 0¢ | $12.8K | |||
| Michael Ford | <1% | 0¢ | $16.3K | |||
| Anthony Furey | <1% | 0¢ | $13.1K | |||
| Marco Mendicino | <1% | 0¢ | $19.1K | |||
| John Tory | <1% | 0¢ | $17.3K | |||
| Kevin Clarke | <1% | 0¢ | $12.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Toronto Mayoral, Olivia Chow, Brad Bradford
Search ›- Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow trade parting shots on eve of Toronto mayoral electionThe mayor was on the campaign trail Saturday, looking to sway last-minute voters. “This race is close,” Olivia Chow told reporters in Scarborough. “(It is) neck and neck. Scarborough, your vote will decide it.” The latest Canada Pulse…
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Bradford, Chow trade jabs in final stretch of Toronto mayoral campaignBy Brandon Choghri and Denio Lourenco Posted October 24, 2026 1:04 pm. Toronto’s top mayoral candidates traded jabs from across the city and warned voters against what the city could look like with their opponent at the helm. As the… -
Brad Bradford is on the verge of a remarkable comeback. We assess his record — and what his mayoralty might look likeBrad Bradford has crafted what could be a winning message by telling residents who are fed up by the state of the city that he shares their frustration, and that they should expect better. Beaches—East York councillor Brad Bradford is now… - KINSELLA: Toronto mayoral race upended by city's desire for 'change'Brad Bradford's call for 'change' hits home among Toronto residents who are unhappy about crime, congestion and the cost of everything In the 2003 Ontario general election, Ontario Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty crushed the Progressive…
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Olivia Chow vowed to make Toronto kinder, more affordable and safer. We look at whether she’s kept her wordOlivia Chow vowed to make Toronto kinder, more affordable and safer. Has she done so? On the eve of the vote, the Star assesses Olivia Chow’s record as mayor of Toronto. “Today is a day for renewal.” That was the optimistic opener of… -
Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow just faced off in their final debate. Here are 4 takeawaysCandidates clash over taxes, data centres and more — as election day looms Brad Bradford and Olivia Chow each shown arriving for Thursday night’s debate. The leading candidates to be the mayor of Toronto faced off Thursday in their final… -
Why a Brad Bradford victory could have a different look than any other Toronto mayoral raceBrad Bradford could win the Toronto mayoralty despite losing support in his home ward of Beaches—East York. If Brad Bradford wins the Toronto mayoral election, it will likely be without the support of his home ward Beaches—East York, polls… -
Toronto Mayoral Candidates Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford to Debate Ahead of ElectionHome » Trending » Toronto Mayoral Candidates Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford to Debate Ahead of Election The race for Toronto’s mayoral seat is heating up, with a pivotal debate on the horizon that could shape the outcome of the election… -
Opinion | Olivia Chow gave Brad Bradford a huge opening. It may cost her city hallToronto’s parks and public spaces have a problem with public disorder that progressives like Olivia Chow haven’t adequately confronted, writes Richard Warnica. Like a lot of young parents in Toronto — my nine-year-old daughter is a fourth… - Scott Stinson: Olivia Chow was a heavy favourite to be re-elected as Toronto mayor. Not anymoreIn their final debate, Chow spent much of her time attacking councillor Brad Bradford's promises and record Brad Bradford is disappointed in Olivia Chow. At the final debate of the Toronto mayoral campaign on Thursday night, a familiar…
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John Tory weighs in on the mayoral race — in MississaugaThe former Toronto mayor offered praise for Bonnie Crombie and her idea for a subway extension into Mississauga. John Tory speaks at a January 2020 press conference when he was Toronto mayor, alongside then-Mississauga mayor Bonnie Crombie… -
Chow and Bradford enter final weekend with Toronto polls splitBuffalo, New York · Western New York Buffalo · Western New York One poll has Olivia Chow up 11 points, while others show Brad Bradford narrowly ahead. In the final debate, Chow said the city is making progress and Bradford said results are…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions