Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Zohran Mamdani
80%
80¢
84¢
$1.19
6.7K
Jessica Tisch
8%
8¢
10¢
$10.00
6.1K
Eric Adams
4%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
1.8K
Mark Levine
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
282
Brad Lander
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
377
Letitia James
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
282
Julie Menin
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
162
Curtis Sliwa
1%
2¢
$50.00
75.00
Donald Trump
1%
2¢
$50.00
53.00
Bill Ackman
1%
2¢
$50.00
52.00
Dave Portnoy
1%
2¢
$50.00
52.00
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
1¢
$100.00
135
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City, Zohran Mamdani, Jessica Tisch
Between Eric Adams and the congressional delegation, an uneasy peacePOLITICO · 3 days agoThe New York City mayor's hold on the office depends on the support of Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries and his colleagues. 10/23/2024 2:47 PM EDT NEW YORK — Not one member of New York City’s congressional delegation has offered a…
Hochul, Blakeman focus on affordability in campaign stops across New York CityCBS News · 3 days agoOctober 24, 2026 / 12:03 AM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman campaigned on opposite sides of New York City on Friday, speaking with voters about on affordability, taxes and public safety as the…
Zohran Mamdani’s contempt for doing his job will cost him — and NYCNew York Post · 2 days agoThe Post’s exposure of Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s weird habit of not bothering to sign bills into law bodes ill for him and for the city. He’s taken the trouble to sign just one in his first 10 months, vs. 30, 47 and 28 for the last three…
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCNew York Post · 2 days agoEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the…
Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmakingFox Business · 4 days agoFox Business Zohran Mamdani criticized by panel for prioritizing social media over lawmaking 'The Big Money Show' criticizes New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani for prioritizing social media over passing laws. The panel debates the rise of…
New York city council votes to ban horse-drawn carriage ridesthe Guardian · 4 days agoCity’s council passed Romanch’s Law, named after teen who died when he was ejected from carriage earlier this year The New York city council has voted to ban horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028 in a decision that has widespread…
Zohran Mamdani news - Today’s latest updatesCBS News · 5 days agoThe city announced that 10,000 new spots will be added across the city for free childcare for 2-year-olds. CBS News New York's Christina Fan reports. Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Gov. Kathy Hochul announced Monday that more than 12,000…
New York City Council passes bill to ban horse-drawn carriage rides within 2 yearsCBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: October 22, 2026 / 6:08 PM EDT / CBS New York The New York City Council passed a bill banning horse-drawn carriage rides in the city by 2028. Lawmakers voted Thursday afternoon on Romanch's Law. The legislation is named after…
New York City votes to ban horse-drawn carriagesCBS News · 46 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. NYC votes to ban…
New York City mayoral contender Zellnor Myrie out with first TV adPOLITICO · 3 days agoThe candidates are looking to make a dent in Andrew Cuomo's significant lead in the polls. Brooklyn state Sen. Zellnor Myrie is releasing his first TV ad of the mayor's race Tuesday. | Courtesy of state Sen. Zellnor Myrie's office…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions