Chicago Mayor winner? (2027)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Feb 23, 2028 · $29 today · $32.9K traded · $18.6K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

74%Alexi Giannoulias
  • Alexi Giannoulias74%
  • Susana Mendoza8%
  • Brandon Johnson7%▼ 1
  • Willie Wilson4%
  • Mike Quigley2%
  • Matt Brewer1%
  • Joe Holberg1%
  • George Cardenas<1%
  • Liam Stanton<1%
  • Lisa Madigan<1%
  • Lisa Nee<1%
  • John Kitover<1%
5 more
  • Toni Brooks<1%
  • Maria Pappas<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Paul Vallas<1%
  • Kam Buckner<1%

How the odds have moved

Alexi Giannoulias: 65% on Oct 20, 74% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 20, 11 PM ETAlexi Giannoulias: 65% → 75%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Alexi Giannoulias 74% 74¢ 80¢ $1.25 34.9K
Susana Mendoza 8% 8¢ 9¢ $11.36 31.0K
Brandon Johnson 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 9¢ $10.75 24.3K
Willie Wilson 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 16.8K
Mike Quigley 2% 2¢ 3¢ $35.71 15.3K
Matt Brewer 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 15.5K
Joe Holberg 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 9.4K
George Cardenas <1% 1¢ $100.00 566
Liam Stanton <1% 1¢ $100.00 7.7K
Lisa Madigan <1% 1¢ $100.00 582
Lisa Nee <1% 1¢ $100.00
John Kitover <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.5K
Toni Brooks <1% 1¢ $100.00 101
Maria Pappas <1% 0¢ 0¢ 6.6K
Rahm Emanuel <1% 0¢ 0¢ 1.1K
Paul Vallas <1% 0¢ 0¢ 878
Kam Buckner <1% 0¢ 0¢ 670

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chicago Mayor, Alexi Giannoulias, Susana Mendoza

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions