Predictions › Elections odds Every Governors market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
4,278 open markets · $9.1M traded today Trending governors markets
Xavier Becerra 95% Steve Hilton 4% Tom Steyer <1% Rick Caruso <1% 19 more Alex Padilla <1% Katie Porter <1% Antonio Villaraigosa <1% Stephen Cloobeck <1% Butch Ware <1% Betty Yee <1% Toni Atkins <1% Kyle Langford <1% Chad Bianco <1% Eleni Kounalakis <1% Daniel Mercuri <1% Tony Thurmond <1% Michael Younger <1% Leo Zacky <1% Nicole Shanahan <1% Eric Swalwell <1% Kamala Harris <1% Matt Mahan <1% Elaine Culotti <1%
Xavier Becerra 96% Steve Hilton 4%
Byron Donalds 80% ▼ 1 David Jolly 21% ▲ 1
Greg Abbott 76% Gina Hinojosa 24%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 78% Bernadette Wilson 21% David Bronson <1% Treg Taylor <1% 18 more Click Bishop <1% Adam Crum <1% Nancy Dahlstrom <1% Edna DeVries <1% Matt Heilala <1% Shelley Hughes <1% James Parkin <1% Lisa Murkowski <1% Tom Begich <1% Mary Peltola <1% Hank Kroll <1% Bruce Walden <1% Matt Claman <1% Lesil McGuire <1% Gregg Brelsford <1% Jessica Faircloth <1% Destry J. Payne Sr. <1% Bill Walker <1%
Amy Acton 71% Vivek Ramaswamy 30% ▼ 1
Kathy Hochul 94% Bruce Blakeman 6%
Rob Sand 87% Zach Lahn 13% ▼ 1
Rick Jackson 51% ▼ 1 Keisha Lance Bottoms 50% ▲ 1
Aaron Ford 56% Joe Lombardo 45%
David Crowley (D) 80% Tom Tiffany (R) 20% ▲ 1
Xavier Becerra 96% Steve Hilton 4%
Katie Hobbs 91% Andy Biggs 9%
Jocelyn Benson (D) 93% ▼ 1 John James (R) 7% ▲ 2 Independent <1%
Maura Healey 95% Mike Minogue 5%
Josh Shapiro 97% Stacy Garrity 3%
Phil Scott 76% Amanda Janoo 24%
Amy Klobuchar 95% Lisa Demuth 5%
JB Pritzker 96% Darren Bailey 4%
Democratic Party 70% ▼ 1 Republican Party 21% ▼ 2 Tie 10%
Tina Kotek 81% ▲ 2 Christine Drazan 19% ▼ 3
Ty Masterson 76% Cindy Holscher 25%
Democratic party 80% ▼ 1 Republican party 21%
-1 24
Median 5.49 Middle half 1.17 – 8.10
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .
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