Alaska Governor Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3 · $13.9K today · $1.7M traded · $83.4K at stake · prices read 26 min ago

The odds

88%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins88%▲ 2
  • Bernadette Wilson11%▼ 2
  • David Bronson<1%
  • Click Bishop<1%
  • Adam Crum<1%
  • Nancy Dahlstrom<1%
  • Edna DeVries<1%
  • Matt Heilala<1%
  • Shelley Hughes<1%
  • James Parkin<1%
  • Treg Taylor<1%
  • Lisa Murkowski<1%
10 more
  • Tom Begich<1%
  • Mary Peltola<1%
  • Hank Kroll<1%
  • Bruce Walden<1%
  • Matt Claman<1%
  • Lesil McGuire<1%
  • Gregg Brelsford<1%
  • Jessica Faircloth<1%
  • Destry J. Payne Sr.<1%
  • Bill Walker<1%

How the odds have moved

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 78% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 88% ▲ 2 88¢ 89¢ $1.13 $235K
Bernadette Wilson 11% ▼ 2 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 $258K
David Bronson <1% 0¢ $56.6K
Click Bishop <1% 0¢ $35.4K
Adam Crum <1% 0¢ $52.2K
Nancy Dahlstrom <1% 0¢ $133K
Edna DeVries <1% 0¢ $29.5K
Matt Heilala <1% 0¢ $43.1K
Shelley Hughes <1% 0¢ $17.2K
James Parkin <1% 0¢ $118K
Treg Taylor <1% 0¢ $63.7K
Lisa Murkowski <1% 0¢ $28.4K
Tom Begich <1% 0¢ $174K
Mary Peltola <1% 0¢ $343K
Hank Kroll <1% 0¢ $20.4K
Bruce Walden <1% 0¢ $13.1K
Matt Claman <1% 0¢ $21.3K
Lesil McGuire <1% 0¢ $6.5K
Gregg Brelsford <1% 0¢ $3.9K
Jessica Faircloth <1% 0¢ $4.3K
Destry J. Payne Sr. <1% 0¢ $3.8K
Bill Walker <1% 0¢ $10.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Alaska Governor winner? (2026)

87%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins87%▲ 1
  • Bernadette Wilson12%
  • Treg Taylor1%▲ 1
  • Dave Bronson1%
12 more
  • Bill Walker<1%
  • Lesil McGuire<1%
  • Click Bishop<1%
  • Tom Begich<1%
  • Mary Peltola<1%
  • Nancy Dahlstrom<1%
  • Edna DeVries<1%
  • Shelley Hughes<1%
  • Matt Heilala<1%
  • Matthew Claman<1%
  • Adam Crum<1%
  • Lisa Murkowski<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 3, 2027 · $8.2K today · $225K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Alaska Governor, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilson

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97%Xavier Becerra
  • Xavier Becerra97%
  • Steve Hilton3%
  • Rick Caruso<1%
20 more
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  • Katie Porter<1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions