Texas Governor Election Winner
69%Greg Abbott (R)
- Greg Abbott (R)69%▼ 4
- Gina Hinojosa (D)31%▲ 3
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Texas Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
66%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott66%▼ 4
- Gina Hinojosa34%▲ 5
How the odds have moved
Greg Abbott: 76% on Oct 20, 66% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott | 66% | ▼ 4 | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 2.2M |
| Gina Hinojosa | 34% | ▲ 5 | 34¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 2.9M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Texas Governor winner? (2026)Gina Hinojosa (D)Kalshi 34%Polymarket 31%4 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Texas Governor, Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa
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Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa discuss tight race for Texas governor as early voting opensCBS News Sunday Morning CBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 8am CBS News Chicago Sunday7am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm WCCO News Sunday Morning 7am CBS News New York Sunday 8am CBS… - Gina Hinojosa sues Texas Governor Greg Abbott for withholding "intimate and embarrassing" emails between him and Elon MuskGreg Abbott - Source: Getty On Monday, October 19, Texas state Rep. Gina Hinojosa announced she was filing a lawsuit against Greg Abbott, her opponent in the upcoming midterms, NBC News reported. The Democratic gubernatorial candidate…
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Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Greg Abbott over communications with Elon Musk as early voting continuesAUSTIN, Texas – Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee for Texas governor, has filed a lawsuit against Republican Gov. Greg Abbott, seeking answers about his communications with billionaire Elon Musk as early voting continues across the… -
Gina Hinojosa Sues Greg Abbott Over Elon Musk Emails and DonationsThelma Lousie MAGA Influencer Demands Apology After Removal From Ken Paxton Rally in San Antonio Black MAGA Influencer Kicked Out of Ken Paxton Rally in San Antonio Despite Her Support Lil Lucky Drops Rap Tribute to Mrs. Kitchen, an East… -
What Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa say about the tight polls in the Texas Governor's race as early voting is set to beginOctober 18, 2026 / 6:00 AM CDT / CBS Texas As of Friday evening, the Real Clear Politics average of polls between September 18 and October 11 shows Abbott led Hinojosa by just 1.8 percentage points, 48.4% to 46.6%. The Cook Political… -
Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communicationsCBS News Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communications Feeling like fall with a gradual warm-up in North Texas Melissa ISD bus driver arrested for second time in a week for alleged child sex crimes Masked Biden look-alike… -
Greg Abbott, seeking historic fourth term, stares down most competitive race yet: ‘It’s like playing an away game’Washington Examiner Gov. Greg Abbott (R-TX) is facing his most competitive reelection battle yet, with a tough political environment for Republicans as his Democratic challenger, Gina Hinojosa, creeps up in the polls. Abbott, who is… - Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa offer competing visions for Texas in governor’s raceRepublican Gov. Greg Abbott is seeking a record fourth term as Democratic challenger Gina Hinojosa campaigns to unseat him, with the candidates offering different approaches to public education, household costs and state government…
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Texas Democratic candidate for governor sues to review emails between Elon Musk and Greg AbbottTexas state Rep. Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic nominee for governor, announced a lawsuit Monday against Gov. Greg Abbott over emails between his office and Republican ally Elon Musk. Hinojosa — who is challenging Abbott in a tight contest… -
Gov. Greg Abbott, Rep. Gina Hinojosa working to boost turnout as early voting beginsHARRIS COUNTY, Texas (KTRK) -- On this first day of early voting, Governor Greg Abbott is working to get his supporters to the polls. He knows how critical Harris County can be in a statewide race, especially since he lost Harris County by… -
Foreign Terrorist Organization Supports Gina Hinojosa’s CampaignAUSTIN – The Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) Action – the political affiliate of the designated foreign terrorist organization CAIR – has chosen Gina Hinojosa as its preferred candidate for Texas Governor. According to the… -
NEW AD: Gina Hinojosa Is Too Dangerous for TexasText JOIN to 55233 for alerts from Team Abbott AUSTIN – Texans for Greg Abbott released a new video ad featuring Goliad County Sheriff Roy Boyd highlighting Governor Abbott’s leadership to secure the border, combat dangerous drug cartels…
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Ohio Governor winner? (2026)
81%Amy Acton
- Amy Acton81%▼ 1
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California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%▼ 1
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Massachusetts Governor winner? (2026)
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Nevada Governor Election Winner
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- Aaron Ford (D)69%▲ 1
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New York Governor winner? (2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.