New York Governor Election Winner
96%Kathy Hochul (D)
- Kathy Hochul (D)96%
- Bruce Blakeman (R)4%▼ 1
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New York Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
95%Kathy Hochul
- Kathy Hochul95%
- Bruce Blakeman6%
How the odds have moved
Kathy Hochul: 94% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul | 95% | 95¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 1.1M | |
| Bruce Blakeman | 6% | 6¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | 3.7M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- New York Governor winner? (2026)Bruce Blakeman (R)Kalshi 6%Polymarket 4%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: New York Governor, Kathy Hochul, Bruce Blakeman
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New York governor's race heats up as Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman clash over high energy costsOctober 20, 2026 / 7:26 PM EDT / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman butted heads on the campaign trail Tuesday over energy policy and the increasingly high cost of utility bills. Hochul took… - Republican Bruce Blakeman says rival Kathy Hochul stumping with Zohran Mamdani will be ‘boost’ to his campaignRepublican Bruce Blakeman said Thursday he was thrilled that his rival Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul will be campaigning with lefty Mayor Zohran Mamdani, calling it a “big boost” for his gubernatorial campaign. “I think that the more Kathy…
- For real change and a better standard of living, vote Bruce Blakeman over hopeless incumbent Kathy HochulIf you want real change and a better standard of living, Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman deserves your vote for governor over incumbent Kathy Hochul — indeed, New Yorkers can’t get rid of her soon enough. Only 40% approve of the job…
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Bruce Blakeman warns Democratic socialists want to 'destroy' capitalismDemocratic socialists want to destroy capitalism and the economy, New York Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman warns during an appearance on 'Varney & Co.' Blakeman strongly criticizes their policies and calls their values… -
Mamdani to finally campaign with NY Gov. Kathy Hochul as she seeks re-electionBig Apple Mayor Zohran Mamdani will finally hit the campaign trail with Gov. Kathy Hochul — with less than two weeks before Election Day, the incumbent Democrat announced Thursday. Mamdani — who got Hochul’s backing after his stunning… -
Despite opponent Bruce Blakeman's constant attacks, Gov. Kathy Hochul opts not to directly engageOctober 19, 2026 / 7:12 PM EDT / CBS New York With the election just about two weeks away, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is continuing her strategy of not directly engaging with opponent Bruce Blakeman. The Nassau County executive is taking a… -
NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdownFox Business NY Gov Kathy Hochul takes credit for Medicare fraud crackdown New York Governor Kathy Hochul claims victory in a Medicaid fraud crackdown. The 'Big Money in the Morning' panel argues that the investigation was prompted by CMS… - Inside Bruce Blakeman’s High-Stakes Surge for New York Governor: Defying Mandates and Uniting the Right Against Kathy HochulBoth candidates outlined their starkly opposing paths for the state on WABC’s Up Close with Mike Marza, pitching their visions to a fractured electorate. Recent Siena polling shows Hochul’s once-dominant advantage narrowing sharply…
- Bruce Blakeman and Kathy Hochul social media tacts diverge in hope for viral boostThe social media strategies of Republican candidate for governor Bruce Blakeman and Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul have diverged. Credit: Getty Images ALBANY — Transit labor activist Tramell Thompson, better known to his more than 200,000…
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Bruce Blakeman hammers Dem Gov Hochul, Mamdani over subway safety during NYC campaign rideThe Republican gubernatorial candidate says seven subway murders show New Yorkers are less safe under Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Zohran Mamdani. Striking a Make America Safe Again tone, Republican New York gubernatorial candidate Bruce… - Hochul clinging to double digit lead over Republican Bruce Blakeman in NY governor’s race: pollGov. Kathy Hochul is holding on to a 14-point lead over Republican rival Bruce Blakeman in next month’s gubernatorial election, according to a poll released Wednesday. The new Quinnipiac University survey shows 55% of likely voters backing…
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Gov. Hochul and Bruce Blakeman spar over New York's high energy costsCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Gov. Hochul and Bruce Blakeman spar over New York's high energy costs Mount Vernon sanitation worker hospitalized after…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.