Install
New York Governor Race 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Kathy Hochul, Bruce Blakeman.
Prediction markets
-
- Kathy Hochul95%
- Bruce Blakeman5%
- New York Governor Election WinnerPolymarket
- Kathy Hochul (D)96%
- Bruce Blakeman (R)4%
-
- Bruce Blakeman (R)57%▼1
- Kathy Hochul (D)45%▲3
- New York Governor Election: TurnoutPolymarket
- 5.5M-6M43%▲2
- 6M-6.5M40%
- 6.5M-7M14%▼3
- 4.5M-5M3%▼2
- 5M-5.5M3%
- 7M+3%▲1
- + 1 more outcome
-
- Democrat 15-20%30%▼3
- Democrat 10-15%22%▲3
- Democrat 5-10%17%▼1
- Democrat 20-25%15%▼5
- Democrat 30-35%6%▼1
- Democrat 0-5%5%
- + 3 more outcomes
-
- New York60%▲1
- Pennsylvania40%
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
Congressional and federal records come from official public sources: the House Clerk, the U.S. Senate, GovInfo and the Library of Congress (bill status), the Federal Register, and the congress-legislators project. They are copied on a schedule and may lag the official record by a few hours; the official sources govern. News and coverage counts are drawn from the 4Conservative index and reflect what the press published, not 4Conservative's views. Nothing here is an endorsement of any candidate, party or position. Terms of use.