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Texas Governor Race 2026
Election day: November 3, 2026. The markets' leading names: Greg Abbott, Gina Hinojosa.
Prediction markets
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- Greg Abbott82%▲1
- Gina Hinojosa20%
- Texas Governor Election WinnerPolymarket
- Greg Abbott (R)79%▼1
- Gina Hinojosa (D)22%▲1
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- Greg Abbott and James Talarico win46%▲5
- Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win38%▼4
- Gina Hinojosa and James Talarico win20%▼1
- Gina Hinojosa and Ken Paxton win<1%▼1
- Texas Senate and Governor ComboPolymarket
- Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate43%▲5
- Reps sweep37%▼9
- Dems sweep22%▲3
- Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate<1%▼1
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- Abbott 3-6%20%
- Hinojosa 3-6%19%▲7
- Abbott 0-3%18%▼1
- Abbott 9-12%18%▲5
- Abbott 6-9%17%
- Hinojosa 0-3%14%▲5
- + 4 more outcomes
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
No coverage of this race in the index in the last two weeks.
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