Texas Governor winner? (2026)
68%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott68%▲ 2
- Gina Hinojosa33%▼ 2
Install
Texas Governor Election Winner
The odds
68%Greg Abbott (R)
- Greg Abbott (R)68%▼ 1
- Gina Hinojosa (D)33%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Greg Abbott (R): 76% on Oct 20, 68% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott (R) | 68% | ▼ 1 | 67¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | $57K |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | 33% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $405K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Texas Governor winner? (2026)Gina Hinojosa (D)Kalshi 33%Polymarket 33%Agree
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Texas Governor
Search ›-
Bill Clements documentary revisits his 1978 Texas governor’s raceFilmmaker Mat Hames can't help but spread the word about a Texas political figure who was foolish enough to think he could break one political party's stranglehold on Texas elections and maybe even usher in an unheard-of era of… -
Transcript: Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan," Oct. 25, 2026October 25, 2026 / 11:21 AM EDT / CBS News The following is the transcript of the interview with Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa that aired on "Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan" on Oct. 25, 2026. MARGARET… -
Texas Pushes Back on CCP RepressionTexas Governor Greg Abbott exposes the reality of Chinese Communist Party transnational repression. What would you like to watch today? Texas Pushes Back on CCP Repression NTD Evening News Full Broadcast (Oct. 25) NTD Evening News Full… -
LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Port Huron, MichiganPresident Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally at McMorran Place Arena in Port Huron, Michigan. What would you like to watch today? LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Port Huron, Michigan President Donald… -
Democratic gubernatorial challenger Gina Hinojosa speaks with KBTX on Terafab, schools & Flock camerasCOLLEGE STATION, Texas (KBTX) - State Rep. Gina Hinojosa, the Democratic challenger for Texas governor, spoke with KBTX to discuss her priorities for a first term and issues affecting the Brazos Valley ahead of the Nov. 3 election… -
LIVE NOW: Trump Departs White House En Route to Port Huron, MichiganPresident Donald Trump departs the White House en route to Joint Base Andrews before traveling to Port Huron, Michigan. What would you like to watch today? LIVE NOW: Trump Departs White House En Route to Port Huron, Michigan President… - Trump: A Feral Lame DuckHow will historians view the 2026 midterm elections? My guess is that many of them will write that “the Affordability Crisis” helped save democracy. Without a dumb war and high diesel prices, Donald Trump’s autocratic behavior might have…
-
Canada once tried to pivot from the U.S. to Europe. Here’s why it didn’t lastFormer U.S. president Richard Nixon and Pierre Trudeau meet in the prime minister’s office in Ottawa on April 14, 1972. It wasn’t the threat of annexation that sparked Canada’s first pivot away from the United States and toward Europe. “It… - Gina Hinojosa cites affordability, support for public education in bid for Texas governorIn Brownsville, Texas last October, Gina Hinojosa announced she was running for governor of Texas. Hinojosa is an attorney and state lawmaker, and at the time, few political pundits gave her candidacy much of a chance. After all…
-
REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in LindaleTexas Gov. Greg Abbott hosts a get-out-the-vote event in Lindale, Texas, on Oct. 23, ahead of the November midterm elections. REPLAY: Texas Governor Hosts Get-Out-the-Vote Event in Lindale -
Texas 2026 Election ResultsGeneral election, November 3, 2026 Results will appear on this page on election night, November 3, 2026, as votes are counted. The last polls in Texas close at 9 PM ET. Follow every state live → On the Texas ballot: governor plus 6 other… -
LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, GeorgiaPresident Donald Trump participates in a midterm election rally hosted by Trump 47 Committee, Inc in Macon, Georgia. What would you like to watch today? LIVE NOW: Trump Participates in Midterm Rally in Perry, Georgia President Donald Trump…
Related markets
All governors ›California Governor Election Winner
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
- Rick Caruso<1%
20 more
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Katie Porter<1%
- Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
- Stephen Cloobeck<1%
- Butch Ware<1%
- Betty Yee<1%
- Toni Atkins<1%
- Kyle Langford<1%
- Chad Bianco<1%
- Eleni Kounalakis<1%
- Daniel Mercuri<1%
- Tony Thurmond<1%
- Michael Younger<1%
- Leo Zacky<1%
- Nicole Shanahan<1%
- Eric Swalwell<1%
- Tom Steyer<1%
- Kamala Harris<1%
- Matt Mahan<1%
- Elaine Culotti<1%
Ohio Governor winner? (2026)
83%Amy Acton
- Amy Acton83%▲ 1
- Vivek Ramaswamy18%▼ 2
Massachusetts Governor winner? (2026)
95%Maura Healey
- Maura Healey95%▲ 1
- Mike Minogue5%▼ 1
Florida Governor winner? (2026)
81%Byron Donalds
- Byron Donalds81%▼ 1
- David Jolly19%▲ 1
Nevada Governor Election Winner
69%Aaron Ford (D)
- Aaron Ford (D)69%▲ 1
- Joe Lombardo (R)31%
Georgia Governor winner? (2026)
63%Keisha Lance Bottoms
- Keisha Lance Bottoms63%▲ 3
- Rick Jackson38%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions