Alaska Governor winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $142 today · $213K traded · $127K at stake · prices read 23 min ago

The odds

86%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins86%▲ 1
  • Bernadette Wilson12%▼ 1
  • Dave Bronson<1%
  • Bill Walker<1%
  • Lesil McGuire<1%
  • Treg Taylor<1%
  • Tom Begich<1%
  • Mary Peltola<1%
  • Click Bishop<1%
  • Nancy Dahlstrom<1%
  • Edna DeVries<1%
  • Shelley Hughes<1%
4 more
  • Matt Heilala<1%
  • Matthew Claman<1%
  • Adam Crum<1%
  • Lisa Murkowski<1%

How the odds have moved

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 80% on Oct 20, 86% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 86% ▲ 1 86¢ 87¢ $1.15 226.7K
Bernadette Wilson 12% ▼ 1 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 88.0K
Dave Bronson <1% 0¢ 1¢ 65.7K
Bill Walker <1% 1¢ $100.00 10.4K
Lesil McGuire <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.6K
Treg Taylor <1% 0¢ 88.0K
Tom Begich <1% 0¢ 272.0K
Mary Peltola <1% 0¢ 18.0K
Click Bishop <1% 0¢ 38.5K
Nancy Dahlstrom <1% 0¢ 14.4K
Edna DeVries <1% 0¢ 1.9K
Shelley Hughes <1% 0¢ 5.8K
Matt Heilala <1% 0¢ 12.8K
Matthew Claman <1% 0¢ 4.7K
Adam Crum <1% 0¢ 19.2K
Lisa Murkowski <1% 0¢ 1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Alaska Governor Election Winner

86%Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins86%▲ 1
  • Bernadette Wilson13%
  • David Bronson<1%
  • Click Bishop<1%
18 more
  • Adam Crum<1%
  • Nancy Dahlstrom<1%
  • Edna DeVries<1%
  • Matt Heilala<1%
  • Shelley Hughes<1%
  • James Parkin<1%
  • Treg Taylor<1%
  • Lisa Murkowski<1%
  • Tom Begich<1%
  • Mary Peltola<1%
  • Hank Kroll<1%
  • Bruce Walden<1%
  • Matt Claman<1%
  • Lesil McGuire<1%
  • Gregg Brelsford<1%
  • Jessica Faircloth<1%
  • Destry J. Payne Sr.<1%
  • Bill Walker<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 3 · $2.7K today · $1.7M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Alaska Governor, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, Bernadette Wilson

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California Governor Election Winner

97%Xavier Becerra
  • Xavier Becerra97%
  • Steve Hilton3%▲ 1
  • Rick Caruso<1%
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  • Katie Porter<1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
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  • Leo Zacky<1%
  • Nicole Shanahan<1%
  • Eric Swalwell<1%
  • Tom Steyer<1%
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  • Matt Mahan<1%
  • Elaine Culotti<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.