Oregon Governor Election Winner
81%Tina Kotek (D)
- Tina Kotek (D)81%▼ 4
- Christine Drazan (R)19%▲ 3
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Oregon Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
80%Tina Kotek
- Tina Kotek80%▼ 2
- Christine Drazan21%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Tina Kotek: 81% on Oct 20, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek | 80% | ▼ 2 | 79¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 155.9K |
| Christine Drazan | 21% | ▲ 2 | 20¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 293.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Oregon Governor winner? (2026)Christine Drazan (R)Kalshi 21%Polymarket 19%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Oregon Governor, Tina Kotek, Christine Drazan
Search ›-
Conservative Legislator Drazan Wins GOP Nod for Oregon GovernorChristine Drazan secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, positioning herself for a general election showdown against Democratic incumbent Tina Kotek this fall. Drazan's primary victory clears the field on the Republican side… -
PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretchIncumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek has outpaced Republican challenger Christine Drazan in fundraising for the Nov. 3 election, but both candidates’ donor bases have shifted since their 2022 race. The governor’s race is coming to an end… -
Two longtime rivals seek new audiences in Oregon governor’s race. Who will persuade voters?Published 8:56 am Tuesday, October 20, 2026 In her second quest to defeat Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek, Sen. Christine Drazan, R-Canby, has gone straight into the political lion’s den. She has announced policy plans to reduce taxes and… -
Guest Column: Next Oregon governor must bring commitment to preventionPublished 7:29 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Jean Carlton, Debra Gaisford, Paul Kemp, Carol Manstrom and Jess Marks/ After the horrific tragedy at Silver Rail Elementary School, our community and state are reeling. We need time and… -
Christine Drazan says she’s her own person, but will it matter?In Christine Drazan’s most recent advertisement, the Republican gubernatorial candidate looks directly into the camera and promises she won’t ban abortions, she won’t cut healthcare, and she won’t let Washington, D.C. control Oregon. The… -
Drazan Wins GOP Primary, Setting Stage for Rematch with Oregon's Democratic GovernorChristine Drazan has secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, clearing a crowded primary field to face incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. Drazan, a state senator, prevailed over 13 rivals in what amounts to a replay… -
2026 Governor Election Odds: Closest Races and Key Battleground StatesWith Election Day approaching on November 3, the 2026 gubernatorial elections are drawing increasing attention as Republicans and Democrats compete for control of state governments across the country. 36 governorships are up for grabs… -
City of Umatilla declares state of emergency over Governor’s order pausing data center developmentIn response to an executive order from Oregon Governor Tina Kotek that paused permitting for data centers in the state, the City of Umatilla has declared a local state of emergency due to an expected financial loss the city may experience… -
triyaknews.com | Local News from Central WashingtonFriends of the Richland Public Library are hosting their annual fall book sale until the night of Oct. 24. The money made from the event goes back into the library and… Read moreFriends of the Richland Public Library fall book sale opens… -
EndorsementsJeff Merkley, Democrat, Working Families v. David Brock Smith, Republican; Gary Lyndon Dye, Libertarian; Chris Henry, Progressive, Pacific Green Rep. Val Hoyle, Democrat, Working Families v. Monique DeSpain, Republican, Libertarian; Justin… -
Oregon Gov. Tina Kotek discusses Bend elementary school shootingCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Oregon Gov. Tina… -
Kotek–Drazan Race Puts Southern Oregon’s Housing, Healthcare and Economic Future on the BallotOregon’s closely contested governor’s race is entering its final two weeks with competing proposals on taxes, housing, education and healthcare that would reach into Southern Oregon’s hospitals, classrooms, businesses and household…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.