Oregon Governor winner? (2026)
81%Tina Kotek
- Tina Kotek81%▲ 1
- Christine Drazan20%▼ 1
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Oregon Governor Election Winner
The odds
82%Tina Kotek (D)
- Tina Kotek (D)82%▲ 3
- Christine Drazan (R)18%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Tina Kotek (D): 83% on Oct 20, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek (D) | 82% | ▲ 3 | 82¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | $63.5K |
| Christine Drazan (R) | 18% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $62.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Oregon Governor winner? (2026)Christine Drazan (R)Kalshi 20%Polymarket 18%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Oregon Governor
Search ›-
PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretchIncumbent Democratic Gov. Tina Kotek has outpaced Republican challenger Christine Drazan in fundraising for the Nov. 3 election,… PACs and megadonors shift millions as Oregon governor’s race enters final stretch Incumbent Democratic Gov… -
Tina Kotek Just Ahead in Oregon Governor’s RaceA new The Oregonian/OregonLive/DHM Research poll in Oregon finds Tina Kotek (D) leading Christine Drazan (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 44%. Oregon Governor’s Race Tina Kotek (D) 46% Christine Drazan (R) 44% The… -
Federal election monitors will be on hand in Portland on Election DayElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. FILE — Ballots move through a signature verification system at the… - Cyrus Javadi switched parties. Will his Oregon district reelect him anyway?Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. On a sunny Sunday last month, Cyrus Javadi was not having much…
- Phil Knight on Backing Anti-Abortion Republican Candidate for Oregon Governor: 'I’m More Conservative Than Nike'Phil Knight has chosen to back the Republican candidate in the tight Oregon governor race, Christine Drazan, who has also been outspoken about her anti-abortion views. He currently serves as the chairman emeritus of Nike’s board and…
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Big Deal or No Big Deal?! AOC’s Transgender Comments, Clinton vs. McConaughey, and Pentagon Betting BanKyle Campbell, veteran political strategist and host of the Politically Basic podcast, and George Carrillo, a former Democratic candidate for Oregon governor, join Tiffany Meier Tonight for “Big Deal or No Big Deal?!” What would you like… - In final weeks of 3rd District campaign, Braun champions ban on transgender girls in girls’ sportsElection Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. Washington state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, a Republican…
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City of Umatilla declares state of emergency over Governor’s order pausing data center developmentIn response to an executive order from Oregon Governor Tina Kotek that paused permitting for data centers in the state, the City of Umatilla has declared a local state of emergency due to an expected financial loss the city may experience… -
Conservative Legislator Drazan Wins GOP Nod for Oregon GovernorChristine Drazan secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, positioning herself for a general election showdown against Democratic incumbent Tina Kotek this fall. Drazan's primary victory clears the field on the Republican side… -
Drazan Wins GOP Primary, Setting Stage for Rematch with Oregon's Democratic GovernorChristine Drazan has secured the Republican nomination for Oregon governor, clearing a crowded primary field to face incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. Drazan, a state senator, prevailed over 13 rivals in what amounts to a replay… -
Guest Column: Next Oregon governor must bring commitment to preventionPublished 7:29 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 By Jean Carlton, Debra Gaisford, Paul Kemp, Carol Manstrom and Jess Marks/ After the horrific tragedy at Silver Rail Elementary School, our community and state are reeling. We need time and… - Did a Multnomah County opposition campaign violate state AI disclosure law?Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 3. Stay informed with OPB on the Oregon governor's race and other regional contests in Oregon and Southwest Washington at our ballot guide. “It is deeply disturbing to see another woman’s likeness appropriated…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions