Pennsylvania Governor winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $878 today · $29K traded · $262K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

96%Josh Shapiro
  • Josh Shapiro96%
  • Stacy Garrity4%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Josh Shapiro 96% 96¢ 96¢ $1.04 277.2K
Stacy Garrity 4% 4¢ 4¢ $26.32 612.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Pennsylvania Governor, Josh Shapiro, Stacy Garrity

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California Governor Election Winner

96%Xavier Becerra
  • Xavier Becerra96%
  • Steve Hilton3%
  • Tom Steyer<1%
20 more
  • Rick Caruso<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Katie Porter<1%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa<1%
  • Stephen Cloobeck<1%
  • Butch Ware<1%
  • Betty Yee<1%
  • Toni Atkins<1%
  • Kyle Langford<1%
  • Chad Bianco<1%
  • Eleni Kounalakis<1%
  • Daniel Mercuri<1%
  • Tony Thurmond<1%
  • Michael Younger<1%
  • Leo Zacky<1%
  • Nicole Shanahan<1%
  • Eric Swalwell<1%
  • Kamala Harris<1%
  • Matt Mahan<1%
  • Elaine Culotti<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.