Michigan Governor winner? (2026)
91%Jocelyn Benson
- Jocelyn Benson91%
- John James8%
- Mike Duggan<1%
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Michigan Governor Election Winner
The odds
93%Jocelyn Benson (D)
- Jocelyn Benson (D)93%▼ 1
- John James (R)7%▲ 1
- Independent<1%
How the odds have moved
Jocelyn Benson (D): 93% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn Benson (D) | 93% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | $169K |
| John James (R) | 7% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.66 | $245K |
| Independent | <1% | 0¢ | $1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Michigan Governor winner? (2026)John James (R)Kalshi 8%Polymarket 7%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Michigan Governor
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One-on-one: Jocelyn Benson on her plans, priorities if elected Michigan governorLANSING, Mich. — It's less than two weeks from finding out who Michigan's next governor will be; and, outgoing Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson (D) is making her final case for voters before the big day. She kicked off a bus tour Thursday… -
Meet Abdul El-Sayed, The No-Nonsense Progressive Who Could Become America's First Muslim SenatorAbdul El-Sayed has gone from losing a Democratic primary for Michigan governor in 2018 to becoming one of the most closely watched Democratic candidates in the 2026 US midterm elections. The Michigan contest is attracting national… -
Bloomberg Pours Tens of Millions into Everytown as it Announces Another $3 Million Midterm Ad BuyWith the 2026 election less than two weeks away, gun-control groups continued to dominate gun-policy advertising–thanks substantially to a massive donation from billionaire Michael Bloomberg. “Every gun safety bill must reach a governor’s… -
What Michigan governor candidates said they'd do to lower costs for MichigandersMichigan gubernatorial candidates John James and Jocelyn Benson were asked in a debate what they would do to lower costs for Michiganders if elected governor. In the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial debate, hosted by WDIV and moderated by… -
El-Sayed's past Muslim Brotherhood comments raise red flags as he eyes powerful roleFox News contributors Karl Rove and Melissa DeRosa discuss Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed’s response to questions about his family’s alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood on ‘The Story.’ Abdul El-Sayed’s past… -
Rogers, El-Sayed Clash Over ICE, Taxes, and Terror Ties in Michigan Senate DebateAbdul El-Sayed and Mike Rogers faced off for their second Michigan Senate debate on Wednesday evening. Rogers said that voters should choose him because Michigan is suffering. The state’s education ranks 45th nationwide and 46th in… -
Fake Polling Firm Hoodwinks Major News Outlets with Bogus Polls in ‘Social Experiment’A fake polling firm managed to hoodwink multiple major news outlets with fabricated surveys, including Newsweek, MS NOW, and The New York Times. Wedgewood Polls on Tuesday admitted to fabricating nearly all its numbers in a social… -
WSGW OnLine Poll for YOU: Michigan’s New Governor (results)(October 14 – 20, 2026) Election day is getting close, Tuesday, November 3. Unless you’ve already voted absentee. We revisit our poll from August regarding your vote for the next governor of Michigan. Has your vote changed or is it the… -
Exclusive / How CBS News’ Middle East war spread to the Upper MidwestControl of the US Senate for the next two years could come down to how much the news media chooses to focus in the final weeks of the midterms on a tweet sent years ago by the younger half-sister of Michigan’s Democratic Senate candidate… -
Whitmer backs Haaland, leaves 2028 openRIO RANCHO — Deb Haaland brought a Democratic heavy hitter to New Mexico on Sunday to campaign for her in the governor’s race. And Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a potential Democratic presidential contender in 2028, came with a message…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions