Pennsylvania Governor winner? (2026)
97%Josh Shapiro
- Josh Shapiro97%
- Stacy Garrity3%
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Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
The odds
98%Josh Shapiro (D)
- Josh Shapiro (D)98%
- Stacy Garrity (R)2%
How the odds have moved
Josh Shapiro (D): 97% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro (D) | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $12.4K | |
| Stacy Garrity (R) | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $52.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Kalshi
- Pennsylvania Governor winner? (2026)Josh Shapiro (D)Kalshi 97%Polymarket 98%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Pennsylvania Governor
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Ken Krawchuk, Libertarian candidate for Pennsylvania governor pushes school privatization and tax cutsKen Krawchuk is the Libertarian Party’s 2026 candidate for governor of Pennsylvania. He is running with lieutenant governor candidate John Thomas against Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro and Republican candidate Stacy Garrity. Krawchuk was… -
George Clooney, Betty Gilpin,& More Unite For Midterms Fundraiser - EXCLUEXCLUSIVE: George Clooney was a big draw on Broadway last year with Good Night and Good Luck, and now the Tony Awards nominee is going to be back on-stage with his GNGT co-star Clark Gregg for a bit of a Smear campaign. The November 1… -
Governor Shapiro calls Vice President Vance 'pathetically weak' for defending Vivek Ramaswamy's ad of Amy Acton's mother.Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro criticizes Vice President Vance and Vivek Ramaswamy, the Republican candidate for governor of Ohio, for doubling down on an ad featuring his opponent's estranged mother. Governor Shapiro calls Vice… -
'Now it's law': Gov. Josh Shapiro signs bill banning cell phones in Pennsylvania schoolsPennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signed a bill Monday banning cell phones in schools starting next school year. "Now it is law in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania," Shapiro said as he signed the bill into law at Lenape Middle School in… -
Exclusive: Shapiro Unloads on ‘Pathetically Weak’ Vance, Predicts Trump ‘Shellacking’Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro did not mince words when asked about Donald Trump's increasingly erratic behavior, his threats to American democracy, and the political future of Vice President JD Vance. In a wide-ranging interview with… - Pennsylvania enacts law regulating AI-generated advertisementsMashable is a global, multi-platform media and entertainment company. Powered by its own proprietary technology, Mashable is the go-to source for tech, digital culture and entertainment content for its dedicated and influential audience…
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Gov. Josh Shapiro Kicks Off Bus Tour in Erie Before ElectionWith the general election less than two weeks away, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro kicked off his campaign bus tour in Erie on Saturday morning, where he was greeted by dozens of supporters. Those who attended the kickoff rally said… -
Map Shows Where Top 2028 Democrats Are Campaigning Ahead of MidtermsOct 23, 2026 at 06:38 PM EDT Potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates like former Vice President Kamala Harris, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg are hitting the campaign… -
Meet the recording artist who made Delaware State University's football anthemCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Meet the… -
Reading Terminal Market to host Rocky-inspired meat market challengeCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Reading… -
CBS Philadelphia helps Camden mom get emergency housing after city says funds ran outCBS Philadelphia's Liz Crawford helped a Camden mom secure emergency housing after her rental home was ruled unsafe. The city said its emergency housing fund ran out of money and it was waiting for federal dollars to shore it up. CBS… -
Federal actions, misinformation raise concerns about voting ahead of Election DayCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Federal…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions