California Governor Election 2026
95%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra95%
- Steve Hilton5%
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California Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
97%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra97%
- Steve Hilton3%
How the odds have moved
Xavier Becerra: 96% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 97% | 97¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 558.0K | |
| Steve Hilton | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | 1.8M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Crypto.com
- California Governor winner? (2026)Steve HiltonKalshi 3%Crypto.com 5%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: California Governor, Xavier Becerra, Steve Hilton
Search ›-
Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor's raceRepublican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton discusses his campaign in the final days before the midterm elections. Steve Hilton discusses the CA Governor’s race Republican candidate for California Governor Steve Hilton… -
How would Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton manage California’s most precious resource, water?This story was originally published by CalMatters. California’s next governor must reckon with a state of extremes — where weather swings from drought to deluge, and water divides the land of backyard swimming pools from places where… -
Inside Xavier Becerra’s secretive inner circle as Dem insiders jockey for plum gigs – before votes are even countedXavier Becerra hasn’t won the California governor’s race yet — but Sacramento political insiders are already scrambling for seats in his expected administration. Acolytes of Gov. Gavin Newsom, labor heavyweights and longtime Becerra… -
Xavier Becerra wants to be the 'health care governor'The former California attorney general split with Gov. Gavin Newsom on cutting Medicaid. Steve Jennings for POLITICO 08/27/2025 7:35 PM EDT SACRAMENTO, California —Xavier Becerra says he’s aiming for universal health care coverage as the… -
Election 2026: Here's where California gubernatorial candidates Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra stand on housing and homelessnessABC7 Los Angeles Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessness Becerra says prevention is key Program funding remains divided issue -
Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass… -
Steve Hilton discusses polls, ICE detentions in FOX26 exclusiveFRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — With less than two weeks until Election Day, Republican candidate for California governor Steve Hilton is pushing back against polling showing him trailing Democrat Xavier Becerra. Hilton sat down with FOX26's… -
New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%… -
Steve Hilton demands laptop evidence over claims Xavier Becerra knew kids went to traffickersSteve Hilton is demanding federal officials turn over records — including a former federal contractor’s laptop — that he claims could expose what Xavier Becerra knew about migrant children being handed to traffickers during the Biden… -
Steve Hilton makes his pitch to replace Gavin Newsom as California's governorKTVU Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra go head to head in the California governor's race to replace Gavin Newsom. Hilton sat down for an interview to talk about how he plans to help Californians save money. -
Bombshell poll finds California voters say state is heading in the wrong direction — but election numbers tell a different storyDemocrat Xavier Becerra has opened up a commanding lead over Republican Steve Hilton in the race for California governor – despite Californians being so fed up with the direction of the Golden State that nearly half have seriously… -
Republican Governor Candidate Steve Hilton Gets Applause From Bill Maher’s Liberal Audience for Saying He’ll Clean Up the Streets of California (VIDEO)Steve Hilton, the Republican gubernatorial candidate for California, appeared on the Bill Maher show on Friday night, and managed to get a round of applause from Maher’s liberal audience when he vowed to clean up the streets in the state…
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California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.