Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 1
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Next French Presidential Election
46%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen46%▼ 2
- Édouard Philippe18%▼ 1
- David Lisnard12%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%▲ 1
41 more
- Raphaël Glucksmann5%
- François Hollande2%
- Gabriel Attal1%
- Sarah Knafo1%
- Éric Zemmour1%
- Bruno Retailleau1%
- Christine Lagarde1%
- Jordan Bardella1%
- Dominique de Villepin1%
- Natacha Polony<1%
- Sébastien Lecornu<1%
- Xavier Bertrand<1%
- François Ruffin<1%
- Marine Tondelier<1%
- Ségolène Royal<1%
- François Asselineau<1%
- Jean Castex<1%
- Karim Bouamrane<1%
- Laurent Wauquiez<1%
- Fabien Roussel<1%
- Olivier Faure<1%
- Clémentine Autain<1%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
- Michel Barnier<1%
- Valérie Pécresse<1%
- François Bayrou<1%
- Élisabeth Borne<1%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
- Gérald Darmanin<1%
- Carole Delga<1%
- Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
- Manuel Bompard<1%
- Mathilde Panot<1%
- Juan Branco<1%
- Clémence Guetté<1%
- Lucie Castets<1%
- Yannick Jadot<1%
- François Baroin<1%
- Marion Maréchal<1%
- Anasse Kazib<1%
- Sylvain Durif<1%
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
78%Magdalena Andersson
- Magdalena Andersson78%
- Ulf Kristersson16%▼ 1
- Ebba Busch2%
- Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist1%▼ 2
6 more
- Jimmie Åkesson<1%▼ 1
- Anna-Karin Hatt<1%
- Nooshi Dadgostar<1%
- Simona Mohamsson<1%
- Amanda Lind<1%
- Daniel Helldén<1%
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
96%Luca Niculescu
- Luca Niculescu96%
- Ilie Bolojan<1%
- Alexandru Nazare<1%
- Siegfried Mureșan<1%
34 more
- Sorin Grindeanu<1%
- George Simion<1%
- Alexandru Rogobete<1%
- Eugen Tomac<1%
- Traian Basescu<1%
- Victor Ponta<1%
- Leonardo Badea<1%▼ 1
- Lucian Croitoru<1%
- Dragoș Pîslaru<1%
- Mugur Isărescu<1%
- Mircea Geoană<1%
- Anca Dragu<1%
- Lucian Isar<1%
- Cătălin Predoiu<1%
- Marcel Ciolacu<1%
- Alexandru Rafila<1%
- Sebastian Burduja<1%
- Ionuț Dumitru<1%
- Elena Lasconi<1%
- Cătălin Drulă<1%
- Vasile Dîncu<1%
- Dacian Cioloș<1%
- Emil Boc<1%
- Dominic Fritz<1%
- Raluca Turcan<1%
- Delia Velculescu<1%
- Nicolae Ciucă<1%
- Hunor Kelemen<1%
- Calin Georgescu<1%
- Radu Burnete<1%
- Șerban Matei<1%
- Dan Motreanu<1%
- Ciprian Ciucu<1%
- Adrian Veștea<1%
Brazil Presidential election winner?
79%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro79%▼ 1
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 1
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
21.6median
1639
Median 21.6Middle half 18.8 – 25.8
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
44%Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%44%▲ 6
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%27%▲ 1
- Lula da Silva <4%20%▲ 1
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%6%▼ 3
4 more
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%▼ 2
- Lula da Silva 4-8%1%
- Lula da Silva 8-12%<1%
- Lula da Silva 12%+<1%
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
81%Alberto Núñez Feijóo
- Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%▲ 1
- Pedro Sánchez15%▼ 1
- Santiago Abascal3%
- Isabel Díaz Ayuso1%
12 more
- Carlos Cuerpo<1%
- Yolanda Díaz<1%
- María Jesús Montero<1%
- Ernest Urtasun<1%
- Aitor Esteban<1%
- Miguel Tellado<1%
- Ester Muñoz<1%
- Pepa Millán<1%
- Cuca Gamarra<1%
- Borja Sémper<1%
- Carles Puigdemont<1%
- Óscar Puente<1%
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
70%Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia
- Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia70%▲ 3
- Student List – Students Win30%▼ 2
- Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
- Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
6 more
- Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
- Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
- Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
- Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
- European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
- SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
76%Nicolás Maduro
- Nicolás Maduro76%▼ 4
- Delcy Rodríguez19%▲ 4
- María Corina Machado5%
- Edmundo González5%
14 more
- Juan Guaidó1%
- Donald Trump1%
- Jorge Rodríguez1%
- Vladimir Padrino López1%
- Dinorah Figuera1%
- Marco Rubio1%
- Pete Hegseth1%
- Diosdado Cabello Rondón1%
- Miguel Rodríguez Torres<1%
- Richard Grenell<1%
- Evan Pettus<1%
- Dan Caine<1%
- Frank Donovan<1%
- Stephen Miller<1%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
67%Aleksandar Vučić
- Aleksandar Vučić67%▲ 1
- Ilija Srdanović21%▼ 1
- Ivica Dačić3%▼ 1
- Vladan Đokić2%
6 more
- Ana Brnabić1%
- Stefan Krkobabić1%
- Miloš Vučević<1%
- Đuro Macut<1%
- Branimir Jovanović<1%
- Dragan Đilas<1%
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
72%Yashar
- Yashar72%▲ 4
- Likud28%▼ 5
- Together<1%▼ 1
- Shas<1%
2 more
- The Democrats<1%
- Otzma Yehudit<1%
Bulgaria Presidential Election
88%Iliana Iotova
- Iliana Iotova88%▲ 1
- Аndrey Gyurov11%▼ 2
- Nikolai Denkov<1%
- Blagomir Kotsev<1%
10 more
- Rosen Zhelyazkov<1%
- Kostadin Kostadinov<1%
- Natalia Kiselova<1%
- Yanaki Stoilov<1%
- Krum Zarkov<1%
- Atanas Atanasov<1%
- Boyko Borissov<1%
- Delyan Peevski<1%
- Vassil Terziev<1%
- Rosen Plevneliev<1%
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
59%Chiang Wan-an
- Chiang Wan-an59%▼ 3
- Puma Shen41%▲ 3
- Kuo Hsi<1%
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
47%Javier Milei
- Javier Milei47%▼ 1
- Axel Kicillof31%
- Sergio Massa12%▲ 1
- Patricia Bullrich3%
17 more
- Dante Gebel1%
- Myriam Bregman1%
- Cristina Fernández de Kirchner1%
- Guillermo Moreno<1%
- Daniel Hadad<1%▼ 1
- Alberto Fernández<1%
- Victoria Villarruel<1%
- Juan Schiaretti<1%
- Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro<1%
- Mauricio Macri<1%
- Lionel Messi<1%
- Juan Grabois<1%
- Esteban Bullrich<1%
- Facundo Manes<1%
- Máximo Kirchner<1%
- Karina Milei<1%
- Nicolás del Caño<1%
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
99%Florida
- Florida99%
- California98%
- North Carolina98%▲ 1
- Texas98%▲ 1
18 more
- Ohio97%
- Louisiana95%
- Utah93%
- Alabama52%▼ 4
- New York5%▲ 1
- Indiana5%
- Wisconsin4%▼ 1
- Kansas4%
- Missouri3%
- Georgia3%
- Washington3%▼ 2
- Nebraska3%
- Minnesota3%
- New Jersey3%
- Illinois3%▼ 1
- Virginia2%
- Maryland2%▼ 1
- South Carolina2%
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
48%Christopher Luxon
- Christopher Luxon48%
- Benjamin Netanyahu39%
- Pedro Sánchez21%▼ 1
- Sébastien Lecornu16%▼ 2
31 more
- Mohammed bin Salman14%▼ 2
- Miguel Díaz-Canel14%
- Edi Rama11%
- Kim Jong Un10%▲ 7
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy9%
- Emmanuel Macron8%▲ 2
- Delcy Rodriguez8%
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira7%
- Lee Jae Myung7%
- Mette Frederiksen6%
- Narendra Modi6%
- Friedrich Merz6%
- Ahmad al-Sharaa5%
- Ramzan Kadyrov5%
- Denis Sassou Nguesso4%
- Sanae Takaichi4%
- Vladimir Putin4%
- Cyril Ramaphosa4%
- Daniel Noboa4%
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan4%
- Félix Tshisekedi4%
- Giorgia Meloni4%
- Javier Milei4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva4%
- Irfaan Ali3%
- Claudia Sheinbaum3%
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen3%
- Xi Jinping3%▲ 1
- Mark Carney3%
- Frederik X3%
- Nayib Bukele2%
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
44%Gadi Eizenkot
- Gadi Eizenkot44%▲ 2
- Benjamin Netanyahu30%▼ 1
- Naftali Bennett12%▲ 1
- Avigdor Lieberman4%▲ 1
14 more
- Amir Ohana1%▲ 1
- Yair Lapid1%
- Benny Gantz1%
- Yariv Levin1%
- Yair Golan1%
- Itamar Ben Gvir1%
- Yossi Cohen1%
- Israel Katz1%
- Gideon Sa'ar1%
- Ayelet Shaked1%
- Moshe Feiglin1%
- Yoaz Hendel1%
- Nir Barkat1%
- Yuli Edelstein1%
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
66%Remain 40–60%
- Remain 40–60%66%▲ 4
- Remain 60–80%16%▼ 1
- Remain 20–40%13%▼ 3
- Remain <20%3%▲ 2
2 more
- Remain 80%+2%▲ 2
- Leave wins2%▲ 1
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
19%chance▼ 3
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
35%Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems35%▲ 1
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps15%▲ 1
- Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems10%▲ 3
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems10%▼ 1
8 more
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps8%▼ 1
- Lula, Eizenkot, Dems7%▼ 1
- Lula, Netanyahu, Dems4%
- Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps4%▼ 1
- Lula, Netanyahu, Reps3%
- Lula, Eizenkot, Reps3%▲ 2
- Lula, Bennett, Dems2%
- Lula, Bennett, Reps1%
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
94%Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
- Marine Le Pen92%▼ 1
- Fabien Roussel86%▲ 1
- Nathalie Arthaud86%▼ 1
42 more
- Édouard Philippe85%
- Raphaël Glucksmann83%▼ 1
- Éric Zemmour81%
- David Lisnard79%▲ 2
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan67%▼ 3
- Bruno Retailleau59%▲ 1
- Dominique de Villepin32%▲ 1
- Marine Tondelier31%
- François Hollande28%
- Gabriel Attal27%▲ 1
- François Ruffin20%
- Sarah Knafo16%
- François Asselineau13%▲ 1
- Delphine Batho10%
- Jordan Bardella8%
- Élisabeth Borne7%
- Juan Branco7%
- Michel Barnier6%
- Xavier Bertrand6%▼ 1
- Jean-Michel Fauvergue6%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet6%
- Bernard Cazeneuve6%
- Teddy Riner6%
- Matthieu Pigasse6%▲ 1
- Jean Castex5%
- François Bayrou5%
- Carole Delga5%
- Olivier Faure5%▼ 1
- Manuel Bompard5%
- Sébastien Lecornu5%
- Karim Bouamrane5%
- Philippe de Villiers5%
- Michel-Edouard Leclerc5%▼ 1
- Mathilde Panot4%
- Jérôme Guedj4%
- Manuel Valls4%
- Valérie Pécresse4%
- Gérald Darmanin4%
- Bally Bagayoko4%
- Laurent Wauquiez3%
- Ségolène Royal3%
- Clémentine Autain2%
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?
93%chance▼ 3
Lima Mayoral Election Winner
87%Rafael López Aliaga
- Rafael López Aliaga87%▼ 3
- Francis James Allison Oyague1%
- Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca<1%
- Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli<1%
19 more
- Santiago Rosendo Abarca León<1%
- Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo<1%
- Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera<1%
- Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino<1%
- Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra<1%
- Sandro Caller Gutiérrez<1%
- Jessica Viviana Linares Romero<1%
- Rubén José Ramírez Mateo<1%
- Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay<1%
- Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés<1%
- Flor de María Hurtado Valdez<1%
- Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar<1%
- Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza<1%
- Samuel Marcos Daza Taype<1%
- Segundo Valdez Zavala<1%
- Samir Frank Quispe Caballero<1%
- Yehude Simón Munaro<1%
- Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué<1%
- Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega<1%
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