Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $239K today · $5.7M traded · $248K at stake · prices read 6 days ago

The odds

>99%Luca Niculescu
  • Luca Niculescu>99%▲ 5
  • Mugur Isărescu<1%
  • Mircea Geoană<1%
  • Anca Dragu<1%
  • Lucian Isar<1%
  • Cătălin Predoiu<1%
  • Sorin Grindeanu<1%
  • George Simion<1%
  • Ilie Bolojan<1%
  • Marcel Ciolacu<1%
  • Alexandru Rafila<1%
  • Sebastian Burduja<1%
26 more
  • Ionuț Dumitru<1%
  • Elena Lasconi<1%
  • Cătălin Drulă<1%
  • Vasile Dîncu<1%
  • Dacian Cioloș<1%
  • Emil Boc<1%
  • Dominic Fritz<1%
  • Raluca Turcan<1%
  • Lucian Croitoru<1%
  • Delia Velculescu<1%
  • Nicolae Ciucă<1%
  • Hunor Kelemen<1%
  • Calin Georgescu<1%
  • Radu Burnete<1%
  • Șerban Matei<1%
  • Alexandru Nazare<1%
  • Alexandru Rogobete<1%
  • Dragoș Pîslaru<1%
  • Traian Basescu<1%
  • Dan Motreanu<1%
  • Victor Ponta<1%
  • Ciprian Ciucu<1%
  • Eugen Tomac<1%
  • Siegfried Mureșan<1%
  • Adrian Veștea<1%
  • Leonardo Badea<1%

How the odds have moved

Luca Niculescu: 96% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Luca Niculescu >99% ▲ 5 100¢ 100¢ $521K
Mugur Isărescu <1% 0¢ $69.8K
Mircea Geoană <1% 0¢ $74.1K
Anca Dragu <1% 0¢ $79.5K
Lucian Isar <1% 0¢ $72.2K
Cătălin Predoiu <1% 0¢ $188K
Sorin Grindeanu <1% 0¢ $74K
George Simion <1% 0¢ $117K
Ilie Bolojan <1% 0¢ $259K
Marcel Ciolacu <1% 0¢ $67.6K
Alexandru Rafila <1% 0¢ $72.9K
Sebastian Burduja <1% 0¢ $74.8K
Ionuț Dumitru <1% 0¢ $84.9K
Elena Lasconi <1% 0¢ $89.7K
Cătălin Drulă <1% 0¢ $62.3K
Vasile Dîncu <1% 0¢ $78K
Dacian Cioloș <1% 0¢ $71.8K
Emil Boc <1% 0¢ $65.4K
Dominic Fritz <1% 0¢ $77.4K
Raluca Turcan <1% 0¢ $57.4K
Lucian Croitoru <1% 0¢ $92.2K
Delia Velculescu <1% 0¢ $123K
Nicolae Ciucă <1% 0¢ $66.2K
Hunor Kelemen <1% 0¢ $113K
Calin Georgescu <1% 0¢ $84.6K
Radu Burnete <1% 0¢ $132K
Șerban Matei <1% 0¢ $112K
Alexandru Nazare <1% 0¢ $473K
Alexandru Rogobete <1% 0¢ $14K
Dragoș Pîslaru <1% 0¢ $108K
Traian Basescu <1% 0¢ $101K
Dan Motreanu <1% 0¢ $11K
Victor Ponta <1% 0¢ $106K
Ciprian Ciucu <1% 0¢ $73.6K
Eugen Tomac <1% 0¢ $37K
Siegfried Mureșan <1% 0¢ $293K
Adrian Veștea <1% 0¢ $223K
Leonardo Badea <1% 0¢ $105K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Romania, Luca Niculescu, Mugur Isărescu

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions