Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Polymarket Elections › Around the world For Oct 19 · $7.3K today · $343K traded · $81.5K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

96%Remain 40–60%
  • Remain 40–60%96%▼ 3
  • Remain 60–80%1%
  • Remain 20–40%1%
  • Remain 80%+<1%
  • Remain <20%<1%
  • Leave wins<1%

How the odds have moved

Remain 40–60%: 66% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Remain 40–60% 96% ▼ 3 94¢ 98¢ $1.02 $65.3K
Remain 60–80% 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $109K
Remain 20–40% 1% 0¢ 1¢ $90.91 $86K
Remain 80%+ <1% 0¢ $19.8K
Remain <20% <1% 0¢ $23.5K
Leave wins <1% 0¢ $39.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Alberta Independence Referendum, Margin of Victory

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions