Brazil Presidential Election
66%Flávio Bolsonaro
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Alberta referendum: Remain vote share? (Oct 19, 2026)
The odds
72.86%median
55%90%
Median 72.86%Middle half 71.42% – 74.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 63.05% on Oct 20, 72.86% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 100% | 99¢ | 21.5K | |||
| At least 65% | 100% | 99¢ | 12.2K | |||
| At least 70% | 100% | 99¢ | 15.5K | |||
| At least 75% | 13% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 17.6K |
| At least 77% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.6K | ||
| At least 80% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.5K | ||
| At least 85% | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 5.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alberta, Remain
Search ›-
CBS News Battleground Tracker favors Democrats but turnout questions remainWith the midterm elections less than 10 days away, CBS News executive director of elections and surveys Anthony Salvanto dives into the latest Battleground Tracker, which favors Democrats but he says "turnout is a big factor." New CBS News… -
Canada won’t see Alberta seceding anytime soon. But what to do with the people who wanted to leave?In the end, it wasn’t even close. Alberta’s preliminary referendum results were a definitive rejection of the idea that the province would be better off as an independent country. By a 3-to-1 margin, the province chose to remain in Canada… -
Video: Carney hails Alberta's vote to remain as 'great result for Canada'About LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… -
Brazil elections: Polls remain open after last-minute extension in election run-off between Lula and Bolsonaro's sonPolls remain open in Brazil's closely fought presidential election run-off, after the country's Supreme Court issued a last-minute two-hour extension to voting hours Voting was due to end at 17:00 local time (20:00 GMT) - however both… -
Ukraine and Russia eye new peace talks — and Melania Trump's mission — but steep obstacles remainUkraine and Russia have signaled willingness to resume peace talks and back a humanitarian mission led by U.S. First Lady Melania Trump, but deep disagreements over territory and security guarantees underscore obstacles to ending the war… -
Trump says he will get Ukraine’s access to Starlink "straightened out" after Ukrainian officials say restrictions remainPresident Trump says he will get Ukraineâs access to Starlink "straightened out" after officials in the country said restrictions remain in place. "They're trying to subtly undermine Ukraine," says House Armed Services ranking member… -
Alberta welcomed migrant workers. Now, it wants to restrict their rights‘Scapegoating non-permanent residents is not going to lower the cost of living,’ Vanesa Ortiz says When Vanesa Ortiz came to Calgary from Mexico, she found herself in a city gripped by winter. Outside the airport, it was -15C (5F). “I… -
Alberta’s New Political Status QuoWhile the decisive outcome of Alberta’s referendum has spared the province and the country the divisiveness of a closer call, the process that produced the 75%-25% result in favour of remaining in Canada still begs a consequential… -
Cory Morgan: The Political Fallout of the Alberta ReferendumThe referendum is finally finished in Alberta, and the dust from a long and divisive five-month campaign is settling. It has been made clear that a majority of Albertans do not want to pursue a path to provincial independence at this time… -
Immigration remains contentious in Alberta following referendumThe Alberta referendum results last week have been celebrated across Canada as a victory for national unity over separatism. With more than three-quarters of voters rejecting a move towards independence, the outcome has also been hailed as… -
Alberta votes overwhelmingly to remain part of Canada in referendumWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Path of Canada's Alberta Toward Autonomy Could Take Decades - ResidentWASHINGTON (Sputnik) - The Canadian province of Alberta needs to move toward greater autonomy, but the process could take decades and likely entail economic challenges, Priest Dmitriy Grigoriev, rector of the Russian All Saints Orthodox…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions