Brazil Presidential election winner?

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 25, 2027 · $36K today · $4.4M traded · $1.8M at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

78%Flávio Bolsonaro
  • Flávio Bolsonaro78%▼ 5
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22%▲ 5

How the odds have moved

Flávio Bolsonaro: 79% on Oct 20, 78% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Flávio Bolsonaro 78% ▼ 5 78¢ 79¢ $1.27 4.1M
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 22% ▲ 5 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 5.3M
Ciro Gomes 1% $100.00 1.2K
Augusto Cury 1% $100.00 216.4K
Eduardo Bolsonaro <1% 57.7K
Ratinho Júnior <1% 138.9K
Romeu Zema <1% 324.2K
Aldo Rebelo <1% 79.9K
Jair Bolsonaro <1% 259.4K
Fernando Haddad <1% 210.1K
Tarcísio de Freitas <1% 269.6K
Michelle Bolsonaro <1% 110.1K
Renan Santos <1% 1.2M
Ronaldo Caiado <1% 219.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brazil Presidential, Flávio Bolsonaro

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions