Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Result pending · $41K today · $10.5M traded · $949K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

72%Magdalena Andersson
  • Magdalena Andersson72%
  • Ulf Kristersson24%▲ 3
  • Ebba Busch3%
  • Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist1%
  • Jimmie Åkesson<1%
  • Simona Mohamsson<1%
  • Anna-Karin Hatt<1%
  • Nooshi Dadgostar<1%
  • Amanda Lind<1%
  • Daniel Helldén<1%

How the odds have moved

Magdalena Andersson: 78% on Oct 20, 72% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETMagdalena Andersson: 76% → 69%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Magdalena Andersson 72% 71¢ 72¢ $1.39 $2.8M
Ulf Kristersson 24% ▲ 3 24¢ 24¢ $4.13 $2.1M
Ebba Busch 3% 3¢ 3¢ $30.30 $939K
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist 1% 0¢ 1¢ $578K
Jimmie Åkesson <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.9M
Simona Mohamsson <1% 0¢ $376K
Anna-Karin Hatt <1% 0¢ $312K
Nooshi Dadgostar <1% 0¢ $1M
Amanda Lind <1% 0¢ $136K
Daniel Helldén <1% 0¢ $339K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Prime Minister of Sweden, Magdalena Andersson, Ulf Kristersson

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions