Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Legislating combo
3%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
11.6K
Dysfunction combo
1%
$100.00
27.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Voters angry about high prices may get little relief from the next CongressThe Washington Post · 9 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. If voters expect a new…
How Congress could address Social Security insolvency – and the hidden costFox Business · 40 h agoKent Smetters, faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, on Social Security's looming funding crisis. Social Security is expected to reach insolvency within a decade, and with the key safety net program facing the prospect of…
DOJ charges 2 former FBI officials with lying to Congress over Hunter Biden probePOLITICO · 25 h agoFederal prosecutors allege the two, who worked on the bureau’s Foreign Influence Task Force, lied about their knowledge of its probe into Hunter Biden and his laptop. Deputy Assistant Director for Counterterrorism at the FBI Nikki Floris…
Democrats want Mullin in the hotseat in the next CongressPOLITICO · 29 h agoDemocrats want the Department of Homeland Security back into the headlines, potentially thwarting the administration’s goal of keeping unpopular immigration enforcement operations away from public attention. 10/23/2026 10:00 AM EDT A top…
AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officialsCNN · 47 h agoCNN AOC wants next Congress to investigate top Trump officials While campaigning in Maine with Democrat Troy Jackson, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she wants the next Congress to open investigations into the heads of major federal…
These midterm races could shift the balance of power in CongressCBS News · 2 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Key midterm races…
Europeans aren’t betting on a Democratic Congress to save UkrainePOLITICO · 2 days agoEven a congressional shift in power won’t significantly change Ukraine’s future. President Donald Trump, right, shakes the hand of Russia's President Vladimir Putin during a joint press conference at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.