Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Democratic party
62%
▼ 3
61¢
62¢
$1.61
12.6K
Republican party
35%
▲ 1
34¢
35¢
$2.86
11.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Pennsylvania State Senate RacePoliticsPA · 3 days agoThe 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate race is underway. Prediction market odds are updated every 30 minutes via PredictionEdge. November 3, 2026 is the general election. By traders, not pundits. PredictionEdge aggregates regulated prediction…
Pennsylvania State House advances bill to ban phone-use in schoolWTAE · 3 days agoThe Pennsylvania State Senate passed a bill on Wednesday that would ban students from using their phones during the school day. The bipartisan bill passed 47-3, after passing in the House last week 141-62. The bell-to-bell mobile device…
Thomas narrowly leads Pennycuick in Pennsylvania’s 24th Senate Districtprojects.statenavigate.com · 3 days agoState Navigate’s September 18-20 survey finds Chris Thomas at 46%, Tracy E. Pennycuick at 44%, Mike Schonewolf at 3%, and 7% undecided after leaner follow-up. Josh Shapiro leads the governor ballot 57%-37% among these same district voters…
A Pitt student’s guide to the 2026 midterm electionThe Pitt News · 4 days agoA “Vote Here” sign outside Posvar Hall. On Nov. 3, voters will head to the polls for the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election. Below is a guide to what the ballot will look like for Pitt students. The upcoming election will decide the…
A Look at the PA State Senate Map Just Days Before the 2026 ElectionPoliticsPA · 5 days agoPoliticsPA A Look at the PA State Senate Map Just Days Before the 2026 Election Here is a look at each of the 50 Pennsylvania state Senate districts with their current seat holder, the counties represented, and voter registrations for…
Democrats, Republicans seek ‘trifectas’ in the 2026 midtermsconnectradio.fm · 5 days agoThe balance of power in state governments is on the ballot in many states this November. Both parties could win “trifectas” — control of the governor’s mansion and both chambers of the state legislature — in some states, which would give…
'Vote Early' theme of No Kings rally in JohnstownThe Tribune-Democrat · 7 days agoThe Tribune-Democrat Blaze at St Petersburg oil sites as Kyiv launches more than 1,000 drones at Russia Demonstrators take part in a No Kings: Vote Early rally on the corner of Haynes and Bedford streets in Johnstown on Saturday, Oct. 17…
Can the Democrats’ Dan Osborn Strategy Work on the State Legislative Level?State Navigate · 9 days agoAsk for a State Navigate page. Democrats’ Dan Osborn strategy isn’t just limited to US Senate races: they’re trying it at the state legislative level this year, too. Can it work? The most shocking poll of the cycle is not in Texas, Iowa…
Ahead of Midterm Election, Advocates Urge Voter EducationTube City Online · 9 days agoAs the midterm election approaches, there is a push for more voter education in Pennsylvania. More than 8 million registered voters can cast ballots on or before Nov. 3. Blessing Osazuwa, statewide organizer for the League of Women Voters…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.