President 2028

The 2028 presidential field: who is running, who leads, the primaries ahead.

The latest

Crunch time for Clinton's VP contendersPOLITICO · 2 days agoIt’s crunch time for Hillary Clinton’s vice presidential contenders. They’ve advanced her cause in media conference calls, sat for local interviews, and done the donor chats. They’ve trekked across the country for far-flung town halls and…
Ben Shapiro endorses Scott Singer, takes aim at Jared Moskowitz in CD 25@Fla_Pol · 42 h agoConservative commentator Ben Shapiro is backing former Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer’s bid for Congress. The nod adds another nationally recognized conservative to his list of supporters as he challenges Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared…
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns with Troy Jackson in PortlandYahoo News · 42 h agoJackson and Ocasio-Cortez were in lockstep on many progressive policies like defunding ICE and Medicare for All. By Yimou Lee YILAN, Taiwan, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Almost all of Taiwan shut down on Friday ahead of the arrival of Typhoon…
Trump Noncommittal on Vance for 2028NTD · 45 h agoVance said that he still hasn't made up his mind about running, but that if he does, he expects that Trump would back him. What would you like to watch today? Trump Noncommittal on Vance for 2028 NTD News Today Full Broadcast (Oct. 22) NTD…
Ben Shapiro Endorses Scott Singer for CongressThe Floridian · 45 h agoConservative commentator Ben Shapiro has endorsed Republican Scott Singer in his congressional bid for Florida's 25th District (FL CD 25) against incumbent Democrat Rep. Jared Moskowitz. "We need people in Washington who know how to govern…
Trump Was Just Asked If He'll Endorse JD Vance For President In 2028 With Vance Standing Right Behind Him—And It's A Big YikesComic Sands · 47 h agoOn Tuesday, President Trump was asked by a reporter if he'll endorse Vice President JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election with Vance standing right behind him—and his answer speaks volumes. Speaking in the Oval Office on Tuesday while…
Dark Days May be Ahead | OpinionOut South Florida · 2 days agoToday is a dark day in America None of us can be certain of what the future holds, but itâs clear that this moment will embolden the most hostile and intolerant elements of our society â especially those who target the LGBTQ community…
Paraguay Politics Explained, Who Holds Power in 2026The Rio Times · 2 days agoOne party, one term limit and one open succession race shape who rules in Asunción. Here is who holds each office in October 2026. Paraguay politics in October 2026 turns on one party, the Colorados, and one question: who succeeds…
2027: Okpebholo Says Esan Turnout Shows APC Is Winning, Targets 2.5m Votes for Tinubu in EdoThe Nigerian Observer · 2 days agoHe spoke on Wednesday during the party’s grassroots mobilisation tour of Esan South-East and Esan North-East Local Government Areas. Okpebholo who thanked supporters for coming out in large numbers said the turnout convinced him that the…
Vance Looks On As Trump Refuses To Endorse Him For 2028PolitiZoom · 2 days agoNow for the fun part – that set up and (crotch) punch line. Earlier this week, on Monday (the 19th) Vance sat down for an on-camera interview: During an interview with the digital media platform 2WAY, Vance expressed certainty that his…
JD Vance and Marco Rubio Are Both Losing Ground in 2028 RaceNewsweek · 3 days agoOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have both lost ground in leading the 2028 Republican presidential nomination prediction markets, according to a Newsweek analysis of Polymarket and…
Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’Social News XYZ · 2 days agoHome » International » Indian-American Ro Khanna says he is ‘not a Chuck Schumer Democrat’ Posted By: Gopi October 21, 2026 United Nations, Oct 22 (SocialNews.XYZ) Indian-American Congressman Ro Khanna has declared himself “a New Deal…
Trump shuts down Vance’s 2028 run as VP stands right behind himDagens.com · 2 days agoJD Vance said he thinks Donald Trump will endorse him for president in 2028, but Trump shot that down hours later with Vance standing behind him. Vice President JD Vance has spent much of the build-up to the midterm elections putting…
Trump holds off on endorsing VanceWorld Israel News · 3 days agoUS President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance in the White House situation room, (White House) Trump declines to endorse JD Vance for 2028 presidential election, saying decision is premature. President Donald Trump declined Tuesday…
Watch: Trump Indicates He Doesn't Yet View JD Vance As His SuccessorZeroHedge · 3 days agoThis was awkward and unexpected, but on Tuesday in front of reporters' cameras, President Trump refused to commit to endorsing Vice President JD Vance for president in 2028. He shrugged off a direct question about it, saying instead that…
JD Vance steps away from campaign trail to make unannounced stop at his favorite NFL team... after Trump awkwardly refuses to endorse himDaily Mail · 3 days agoJD Vance stopped by Cincinnati Bengals practice on Wednesday as he took a brief pause from campaigning ahead of the midterms. The vice president grew up an hour north of Cincinnati in Middletown, Ohio, and is a longtime Bengals fan. He was…
Busy 2026 may be one of last elections for Warren County voting machinesDaytonDailyNews.com · 3 days agoWarren County Elections Director Brian Sleeth examines one of the county’s voting machines on Tuesday, Oct. 20. The county may need to replace the machines after the Nov. 3, 2026 election. MICHAEL KURTZ / STAFF The Nov. 3 2026 general…
Trump Says He and Vance Haven’t Spoken About 2028 EndorsementThe Epoch Times · 3 days agoPresident Donald Trump on Tuesday said he has not spoken to Vice President JD Vance about a possible endorsement if Vance announces a run for president in 2028. Speaking to reporters at the White House, Trump said he doesn’t “think we’ve…
JD Vance’s 2028 Ambitions Face an Early Test in MidtermsPolitical Wire · 3 days ago“JD Vance may be an early Republican frontrunner to succeed Donald Trump in 2028, but the president has made it clear he isn’t ready to hand over the keys,” Bloomberg reports. “With Vance standing behind him in the Oval Office yesterday…
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez stumps for Jackson in Maine U.S. Senate raceThe Black Chronicle · 3 days agoThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) — Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is set to visit Maine on Thursday to stump for Democrat Troy Jackson, with the latest polls showing him locked in a tight U.S. Senate race against Republican…

The odds

Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%JD Vance

JD Vance21%▲ 1
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
Gavin Newsom11%▲ 1

51 more

Jon Ossoff10%
Marco Rubio9%
Kamala Harris4%
Josh Shapiro3%
Ron DeSantis3%▲ 1
Pete Buttigieg3%
Andy Beshear2%
James Talarico2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
Donald Trump1%
Tucker Carlson1%
Mark Kelly1%
Raphael Warnock1%
Wes Moore1%
Thomas Massie1%
Ro Khanna1%
JB Pritzker1%
Ted Cruz1%
Rahm Emanuel1%
Donald Trump Jr.1%
Ivanka Trump1%
Gretchen Whitmer<1%
Jamie Dimon<1%
Glenn Youngkin<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
Greg Abbott<1%
Elon Musk<1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Stephen Smith<1%
Nikki Haley<1%
Tim Walz<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
LeBron James<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Eric Trump<1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Jalen Brunson<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Alex Padilla<1%
Candace Owens<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Mike Johnson<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
Tom Cotton<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
Rick Scott<1%

Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom17%▲ 2
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
Jon Ossoff16%

50 more

Kamala Harris7%
Josh Shapiro5%
Pete Buttigieg5%
Andy Beshear3%
James Talarico3%
Mark Kelly2%
Wes Moore2%
Raphael Warnock2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
Rahm Emanuel1%
Ro Khanna1%
Bernie Sanders1%
J.B. Pritzker1%
Chelsea Clinton1%
Cory Booker1%
Gretchen Whitmer1%
Jon Stewart1%
Michelle Obama<1%
Roy Cooper<1%
Chris Murphy<1%
Ruben Gallego<1%
Mark Cuban<1%
Barack Obama<1%
Hillary Clinton<1%
Hunter Biden<1%
Chris Van Hollen<1%
Stephen A. Smith<1%
Gina Raimondo<1%
Zohran Mamdani<1%
Jared Polis<1%
Phil Murphy<1%
Jasmine Crockett<1%
Abigail Spanberger<1%
Hakeem Jeffries<1%
Elissa Slotkin<1%
Josh Stein<1%
Mitch Landrieu<1%
LeBron James<1%
Tim Walz<1%
John Fetterman<1%
Liz Cheney<1%
George Clooney<1%
MrBeast<1%
Oprah Winfrey<1%
Andrew Yang<1%
Beto O’Rourke<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Graham Platner<1%
Adam Schiff<1%
Alex Padilla<1%

Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance44%
Marco Rubio15%
Ron DeSantis3%

40 more

Tucker Carlson3%
Ted Cruz2%
Donald Trump2%
Donald Trump Jr.2%
Ivanka Trump1%
Thomas Massie1%
Brian Kemp1%
Pete Hegseth<1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
Josh Hawley<1%
Rand Paul<1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Tom Cotton<1%
Glenn Youngkin<1%
Greg Abbott<1%
Katie Britt<1%
Candace Owens<1%
Eric Trump<1%
Tulsi Gabbard<1%
Nikki Haley<1%
Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
Byron Donalds<1%
Elise Stefanik<1%
Elon Musk<1%
Kristi Noem<1%
Mike Pence<1%
Steve Bannon<1%
Joe Kent<1%
Doug Burgum<1%
John N. Kennedy<1%
John McEntee<1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
Matt Gaetz<1%
John Thune<1%
Tom Brady<1%
Erika Kirk<1%
Kim Kardashian<1%
Tim Scott<1%
Mike Johnson<1%
Rick Scott<1%

Elections › President 2028

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

66%Democrats Sweep

Democrats Sweep66%▼ 1
R Senate, D House25%▲ 1
Republicans Sweep7%

2 more

D Senate, R House1%
Other<1%

Elections › President 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

92%Democratic Party

Democratic Party92%▼ 1
Republican Party9%▲ 1

Elections › President 2028

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

53%Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman53%▲ 1
Karen Bass47%▼ 1

Elections › President 2028

Will the Citrini scenario happen? (Before July 2028)

19%chance▲ 1

Elections › President 2028

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

48.1median

46.557.5

Median 48.1Middle half 47.1 – 50.2

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.