Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Nithya Raman
50%
▼ 3
50¢
51¢
$1.97
$2.8M
Karen Bass
50%
▲ 3
49¢
50¢
$2.00
$1.5M
Rick Caruso
<1%
0¢
$495K
Asaad Alnajjar
<1%
0¢
$14K
Gina Viola
<1%
0¢
$166K
Spencer Pratt
<1%
▼ 1
0¢
$7.9M
Austin Beutner
<1%
0¢
$44.9K
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
0¢
$1.7M
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
0¢
$33.9K
Rae Huang
<1%
0¢
$523K
Adam Miller
<1%
0¢
$199K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Los Angeles Mayoral, Nithya Raman, Karen Bass
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.