Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $2.5K today · $133K traded · $30.3K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

89%Andy Beshear
  • Andy Beshear89%▲ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg88%▲ 8
  • Ted Cruz83%
  • Gavin Newsom77%
  • J.D. Vance75%
  • Josh Shapiro69%▲ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker67%▲ 13
  • Ron DeSantis66%▲ 1
  • Rahm Emanuel62%▼ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez62%▼ 1
  • Mark Kelly62%▲ 4
  • Cory Booker60%
59 more
  • Brian Kemp57%▲ 4
  • Andrew Yang55%
  • Rand Paul55%▼ 5
  • Wes Moore54%▲ 2
  • Jon Ossoff50%▲ 5
  • Raphael Warnock48%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris44%▼ 6
  • Marco Rubio43%▼ 1
  • Phil Murphy41%▼ 2
  • Katie Britt38%▼ 1
  • Gina Raimondo37%▼ 7
  • Jared Polis37%
  • Glenn Youngkin34%
  • Gretchen Whitmer32%
  • Hunter Biden31%▼ 6
  • Steve Bannon30%▲ 2
  • Josh Hawley28%▼ 1
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene26%
  • Nikki Haley25%
  • Greg Abbott25%
  • Elise Stefanik25%
  • Byron Donalds24%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy23%▼ 1
  • Don Lemon23%
  • Roy Cooper21%
  • Tulsi Gabbard20%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders20%
  • Stephen A. Smith19%
  • Mark Cuban19%
  • John Fetterman18%
  • Tucker Carlson17%
  • Donald Trump Jr.17%▲ 4
  • Kristi Noem17%▼ 1
  • Jon Stewart16%▼ 1
  • Mike Pence16%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16%
  • Candace Owens16%
  • John Thune15%
  • Michelle Obama14%▼ 1
  • Matt Gaetz14%▼ 14
  • Liz Cheney14%
  • Oprah Winfrey13%
  • Elon Musk13%
  • George Clooney12%
  • Donald Trump12%▼ 1
  • Bernie Sanders12%
  • Beto O’Rourke12%
  • Kim Kardashian12%▼ 1
  • LeBron James11%
  • Chelsea Clinton10%
  • Tom Brady10%
  • Zohran Mamdani9%▼ 1
  • MrBeast9%
  • Tim Walz8%
  • Ivanka Trump7%
  • Erika Kirk6%
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%

How the odds have moved

Andy Beshear: 88% on Oct 20, 89% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Andy Beshear 89% ▲ 1 88¢ 89¢ $1.12 $1.5K
Pete Buttigieg 88% ▲ 8 87¢ 88¢ $1.14 $3.1K
Ted Cruz 83% 82¢ 83¢ $1.20 $6K
Gavin Newsom 77% 76¢ 77¢ $1.30 $6.5K
J.D. Vance 75% 73¢ 77¢ $1.30 $5.1K
Josh Shapiro 69% ▲ 1 68¢ 70¢ $1.43 $1.1K
J.B. Pritzker 67% ▲ 13 65¢ 69¢ $1.45 $2K
Ron DeSantis 66% ▲ 1 64¢ 67¢ $1.49 $563
Rahm Emanuel 62% ▼ 2 61¢ 63¢ $1.59 $1.7K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 62% ▼ 1 55¢ 68¢ $1.47 $7.2K
Mark Kelly 62% ▲ 4 61¢ 62¢ $1.61 $678
Cory Booker 60% 59¢ 60¢ $1.67 $2.4K
Brian Kemp 57% ▲ 4 46¢ 68¢ $1.47 $450
Andrew Yang 55% 52¢ 58¢ $1.72 $3.9K
Rand Paul 55% ▼ 5 44¢ 65¢ $1.54 $462
Wes Moore 54% ▲ 2 39¢ 68¢ $1.47 $252
Jon Ossoff 50% ▲ 5 47¢ 53¢ $1.89 $4.2K
Raphael Warnock 48% ▲ 1 47¢ 48¢ $2.08 $908
Kamala Harris 44% ▼ 6 27¢ 60¢ $1.67 $5.6K
Marco Rubio 43% ▼ 1 41¢ 45¢ $2.22 $3.2K
Phil Murphy 41% ▼ 2 31¢ 50¢ $2.00 $1.6K
Katie Britt 38% ▼ 1 18¢ 58¢ $1.72 $20
Gina Raimondo 37% ▼ 7 26¢ 48¢ $2.08 $2.1K
Jared Polis 37% 35¢ 39¢ $2.56 $80
Glenn Youngkin 34% 33¢ 34¢ $2.94 $658
Gretchen Whitmer 32% 30¢ 33¢ $3.03 $966
Hunter Biden 31% ▼ 6 29¢ 33¢ $3.03 $5.6K
Steve Bannon 30% ▲ 2 28¢ 32¢ $3.13 $2.5K
Josh Hawley 28% ▼ 1 23¢ 34¢ $2.94 $5K
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26% 25¢ 27¢ $3.70 $492
Nikki Haley 25% 24¢ 25¢ $4.00 $361
Greg Abbott 25% 23¢ 26¢ $3.85
Elise Stefanik 25% 23¢ 26¢ $3.85 $80
Byron Donalds 24% 22¢ 25¢ $4.00 $94
Vivek Ramaswamy 23% ▼ 1 21¢ 24¢ $4.17 $362
Don Lemon 23% 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 $40
Roy Cooper 21% 19¢ 22¢ $4.55 $40
Tulsi Gabbard 20% 19¢ 20¢ $5.00 $945
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 20% 18¢ 21¢ $4.76
Stephen A. Smith 19% 18¢ 20¢ $5.00 $1.1K
Mark Cuban 19% 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 $328
John Fetterman 18% 16¢ 19¢ $5.26 $3.2K
Tucker Carlson 17% 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 $4.2K
Donald Trump Jr. 17% ▲ 4 15¢ 18¢ $5.56 $3.5K
Kristi Noem 17% ▼ 1 14¢ 19¢ $5.26 $80
Jon Stewart 16% ▼ 1 15¢ 17¢ $5.88 $1.9K
Mike Pence 16% 15¢ 17¢ $5.88 $670
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $990
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 $1.2K
Candace Owens 16% 14¢ 17¢ $5.88 $460
John Thune 15% 13¢ 17¢ $5.88 $203
Michelle Obama 14% ▼ 1 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 $1.4K
Matt Gaetz 14% ▼ 14 12¢ 17¢ $5.88 $378
Liz Cheney 14% 13¢ 15¢ $6.67 $1.8K
Oprah Winfrey 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $37
Elon Musk 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $2.6K
George Clooney 12% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 $1.5K
Donald Trump 12% ▼ 1 11¢ 13¢ $7.69 $100
Bernie Sanders 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $2.4K
Beto O’Rourke 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $20
Kim Kardashian 12% ▼ 1 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 $5.3K
LeBron James 11% 11¢ 11¢ $9.09 $277
Chelsea Clinton 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.52 $125
Tom Brady 10% 9¢ 11¢ $9.09 $1.2K
Zohran Mamdani 9% ▼ 1 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $2.8K
MrBeast 9% 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $1.9K
Tim Walz 8% 8¢ 8¢ $12.50 $5.3K
Ivanka Trump 7% 7¢ 7¢ $14.08 $389
Erika Kirk 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 $4.5K
Hillary Clinton 4% 3¢ 4¢ $22.73 $4.6K
Barack Obama 2% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 $632

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Andy Beshear, Pete Buttigieg, Ted Cruz

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance39%▲ 2
  • Marco Rubio18%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump2%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Elon Musk1%▲ 1
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom17%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%JD Vance
  • JD Vance19%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom12%
51 more
  • Marco Rubio10%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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