How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 3 · $312 today · $27.9K traded · $5.5K at stake · prices read 15 min ago

The odds

2.67median
-0.504.50
Median 2.67Middle half 1.89 – 3.09

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.56 on Oct 20, 2.67 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
0 8% ▼ 1 7¢ 11¢ $9.52 $4.4K
1 7% ▲ 2 4¢ 11¢ $9.17 $5.8K
2 25% ▼ 4 24¢ 28¢ $3.57 $6.6K
3 59% ▲ 6 61¢ 63¢ $1.59 $9.3K
4 1% 0¢ 1¢ $76.92 $1.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: House, Iowa

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  • Iowa’s Senate rivals pitch independence from their partiesPOLITICO · 37 h agoAshley Hinson qualified her pledge to be Trump’s strongest ally, while Josh Turek praised the president’s border record. U.S. Senate candidate Josh Turek speaks during a debate with his Republican opponent, Ashley Hinson, on Oct. 7, 2026…
  • Jeffries: Democrats "on the verge of taking back control" of the Housecnn.com · 2 days agoCNN's Manu Raju hits the campaign trail in California with House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who could be just months away from becoming the first Black speaker of the House of Representatives. While confident, Jeffries is also…
  • Iowa’s health care electionPOLITICO · 46 h agoThe unofficial guide to official Washington, every morning and weekday afternoons. 10/25/2026 12:37 PM EDT With help from Ali Bianco and Irie Sentner Happy Sunday. This is Eli Okun coming to you with a dispatch from Iowa, where I…
  • UNI professor says Iowa has rarity of 3 competitive US House racesRadio Iowa · 43 h agoby O. Kay Henderson | Oct 26, 2026 University of Northern Iowa political science professor Donna Hoffmann says three of Iowa’s four congressional races were considered competitive at the beginning of the year and seem to be among the…
  • Health care shakes up the Iowa electionPOLITICO · 45 h agoIf Democrats flip Congress, health care could find its way to the top of their 2027 agenda. 10/25/2026 12:26 PM EDT WAVERLY, Iowa — Gas and grocery prices have dominated the midterms, but November is shaping up to be a health care election…
  • Iowa bishop says White House visit was 'exploited' for politicsMacon Telegraph · 2 days agoA Roman Catholic bishop who recently visited the White House says a trip by a group of bishops is being exploited for political purposes. Bishop William Joensen of the Diocese of Des Moines said in an Oct. 24 statement that the Oct. 22…
  • Democrats Turek, Sand campaign in Eastern Iowa ahead of midterms@KCRG · 40 h agoCEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) - Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate Josh Turek and Decmocratic candidate for governor Rob Sand went door knocking in Cedar Rapids on Sunday as Iowa’s political races tighten ahead of the midterms. Turek also…
  • Catholic Bishops Say White House Exploited Prayer With TrumpNewsweek · 37 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 03:56 AM EDT Two Catholic bishops have accused the White House of taking advantage of a meeting and prayer with U.S. President Donald Trump, saying the moment was "exploited" or "manipulated" less than two weeks before the…
  • Trump Unloads on Bill Maher in 1,300-Word Post After White House DinnerNewsweek · 32 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT President Donald Trump launched a lengthy attack on comedian Bill Maher on Sunday, calling him a “complete and total loser” in a Truth Social post and telling him not to seek another meeting after previously…
  • Iowa Republican councilwoman calls House candidate ‘dangerous’ to children. Then alleges ‘spiritual abuse’ when her own past is exposedThe Mary Sue · 41 h agoRepublican councilwoman Shellie Flockhart of Dallas Center, Iowa, appeared in a political ad where she accused Democratic congressional hopeful Sarah Trone Garriott of being a danger to children. But amid her remarks, Flockhart herself had…
  • White House official addresses inflation and tariff concernsFox News · 44 h agoNational Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the impact of the administration's economic policies, inflation and tariffs. White House official addresses inflation and tariff concerns National…
  • Democrats Retreat From House Races They Hoped To FlipZeroHedge · 39 h agoLatest: Can The Gulf Be Rebuilt? History favors the party out of power in a midterm, but one problem has dogged the Democratic Party for months, and it's now undermining their plans to win as many seats as possible: money. With money being…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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