Blue wave in 2026?

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Jan 4, 2027 · $3K today · $90.3K traded · $19.2K at stake · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

86%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 83% on Oct 20, 86% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 86% 85¢ 86¢ $1.16 $90.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Blue

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  • DAVID MARCUS: In blue Maine, nobody believes Susan Collins will lose until they see itFox News · 2 days agoMaine voters weigh in on Susan Collins' re-election bid against Troy Jackson, revealing why the longtime Republican senator's personal connections could prove decisive. There are two elements of the Senate race in Maine that truly stand…
  • Could Latino voter anger turn Texas blue? | CNN PoliticsCNN · 4 days agoPresident Trump made gains with Latino voters. But anger over immigration enforcement and high costs is fueling a desire for change. Could that shift flip Texas blue in the midterms? John King speaks with voters on the ground to find out…
  • In reliably blue Minnesota, could Democrats do the unthinkable and lose a Senate seat?the Guardian · 3 days agoFrustration with a sprawling fraud scandal has cut Peggy Flanagan’s poll lead – could ex-NFL reporter Michele Tafoya win a first statewide election for Republicans in 20 years? As Democrats fight to regain control of the US Senate, hopes…
  • MORNING GLORY: Trump must go to war on the airwaves to stop Democrats’ blue-wave blitzFox News · 4 days agoFormer House Speaker Newt Gingrich analyzes the Republican momentum in key states and the challenges facing the Democratic Party and promotes his new book on 'Jesse Watters Primetime.' Should President Donald Trump deliver a prime-time…
  • Evidence of a Blue WavePower Line · 2 days agoI don’t pretend to have any more insight than anyone else into how next month’s election will go, but this is a bad sign: Rasmussen finds that Democrats are now more trusted than Republicans on the crime issue. Voters care deeply about…
  • Trump vows at Long Island rally to win deep-blue New YorkCBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: September 19, 2024 / 9:24 AM EDT / CBS New York UNIONDALE, N.Y. — Former President Donald Trump held a campaign rally Wednesday at Nassau Coliseum on Long Island, where he told his supporters, "we are going to win New York."…
  • Sudan Army Retakes Blue Nile BaseThe Rio Times · 47 h agoSudan’s army says it has retaken a military base in Blue Nile state that the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and a rebel ally claimed in late August. The news came as a UN-organised meeting in Geneva again ruled out a military solution to the…
  • Is a Democratic blue wave going to miss Florida … again?Orlando Sentinel · 29 h agoWith less than two weeks before the Nov. 3 midterms, Democrats across the nation have plenty of reasons to feel optimistic. But Democrats in Florida are up against one of the country’s most formidable political machines. After nearly 30…
  • U.S. midterms — Republicans face growing Blue waveThe Hindu · 2 days agoAlso read | U.S. midterms — Donald Trump’s test, India’s stakes This week, his campaign announced plans to spend $4 million promoting an advertisement featuring Ms. Acton’s estranged mother calling her a liar, drawing criticism from…
  • House Fight Tilts Blue, But GOP Still Has Escape Routesenmnews.com · 30 h agoDemocrats head into the next House battle with the kind of opening they have not seen in years. The national mood has turned sharply against the president in the White House, Republicans are dealing with voter anger over costs, and early…
  • Trumpiana: Go away, scary blue wave, go away. Go away!The American Bazaar · 34 h ago‘King Donald’ pulls out all stops to turn the ominous tides With ‘fake news’ polls portending a massive spooky Democratic blue wave, Donald Trump kept apace his 32-day whirlwind blitz across 30 Republican red states to turn the mid-term…

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Elections › President 2028

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20%JD Vance
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions