2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $28.9K today · $8.6M traded · $5M at stake · prices read just now

The odds

16%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff16%
  • Gavin Newsom14%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear4%▼ 1
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • Rahm Emanuel3%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Wes Moore2%
40 more
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Stephen A. Smith1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mitch Landrieu1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Chris Van Hollen1%
  • David Jolly1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries1%
  • Sherrod Brown1%
  • Mary Peltola1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Dwayne Johnson<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Beto O'Rourke<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Elizabeth Warren<1%

How the odds have moved

Jon Ossoff: 14% on Oct 20, 16% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Jon Ossoff 16% 15¢ 16¢ $6.25 9.3M
Gavin Newsom 14% 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 11.3M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% 13¢ 14¢ $7.14 9.9M
Kamala Harris 7% 7¢ 7¢ $14.08 8.7M
Josh Shapiro 5% 5¢ 5¢ $21.28 6.2M
Pete Buttigieg 5% 5¢ 5¢ $21.28 6.6M
Andy Beshear 4% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $21.74 6.9M
Mark Kelly 4% 3¢ 4¢ $27.78 8.3M
Rahm Emanuel 3% 3¢ 3¢ $33.33 7.8M
J.B. Pritzker 3% 3¢ 3¢ $35.71 6.6M
James Talarico 3% 3¢ 3¢ $38.46 8.5M
Wes Moore 2% 2¢ 2¢ $45.45 5.3M
Raphael Warnock 2% 2¢ 2¢ $45.45 5.7M
Michelle Obama 2% 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 7.6M
Ro Khanna 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 6.9M
Mark Cuban 1% 1¢ 1¢ 6.0M
Gretchen Whitmer 1% 1¢ 1¢ 4.9M
Roy Cooper 1% 1¢ 1¢ 3.6M
Stephen A. Smith 1% 1¢ 1¢ 7.2M
Cory Booker 1% 1¢ 1¢ 4.2M
Chris Murphy 1% 1¢ 1¢ 4.1M
Mitch Landrieu 1% 1¢ $100.00 124.0K
Abdul El-Sayed 1% 1¢ $100.00 5.0M
Shawn Fain 1% 1¢ $100.00 33.6K
Chris Van Hollen 1% 1¢ $100.00 378.7K
David Jolly 1% 1¢ $100.00 287
Hakeem Jeffries 1% 1¢ $100.00 47.4K
Sherrod Brown 1% 1¢ $100.00 196
Mary Peltola 1% 1¢ $100.00 288
Ruben Gallego <1% 0¢ 1¢ 3.7M
Bernie Sanders <1% 0¢ 1¢ 5.4M
Elissa Slotkin <1% 0¢ 1¢ 3.7M
Jon Stewart <1% 0¢ 0¢ 5.4M
Barack Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ 6.4M
Hunter Biden <1% 0¢ 0¢ 8.4M
Jamie Dimon <1% 0¢ 0¢ 3.5M
Zohran Mamdani <1% 0¢ 0¢ 9.9M
Tim Walz <1% 0¢ 0¢ 3.5M
John Fetterman <1% 0¢ 0¢ 5.1M
Amy Klobuchar <1% 0¢ 0¢ 3.3M
Dwayne Johnson <1% 0¢ 0¢ 3.1M
Andrew Yang <1% 0¢ 0¢ 5.2M
Jared Polis <1% 0¢ 2.8M
Hillary Clinton <1% 0¢ 3.2M
Liz Cheney <1% 0¢ 4.1M
Gina Raimondo <1% 0¢ 2.7M
Phil Murphy <1% 0¢ 2.7M
LeBron James <1% 0¢ 3.2M
Jasmine Crockett <1% 0¢ 2.3M
Beto O'Rourke <1% 0¢ 2.2M
Graham Platner <1% 0¢ 4.3M
Elizabeth Warren <1% 0¢ 2.1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Jon Ossoff16%
  • Kamala Harris8%
10 more
  • Josh Shapiro7%
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Andy Beshear5%
  • Wes Moore4%
  • Ro Khanna4%
  • Mark Kelly3%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
  • Cory Booker3%
  • Tim Walz3%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $1.5K today · $1.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%▲ 1
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
  • Kamala Harris7%
49 more
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $419K today · $1.3B traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

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All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

40%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance40%▼ 4
  • Marco Rubio18%▲ 2
  • Ron DeSantis3%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom11%
51 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions