Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Feb 1, 2029 · $786 today · $786 traded · prices read 38 min ago

The odds

17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
  • Kamala Harris8%
  • Josh Shapiro7%
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Andy Beshear5%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • Wes Moore4%
  • Ro Khanna4%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
2 more
  • Cory Booker3%
  • Tim Walz3%

How the odds have moved

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 16% on Oct 20, 17% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 19.00
Gavin Newsom 17% 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 400
Jon Ossoff 15% 13¢ 20¢ $5.00 64.00
Kamala Harris 8% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 251
Josh Shapiro 7% 4¢ 11¢ $9.09
Pete Buttigieg 6% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00
Andy Beshear 5% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 52.00
Mark Kelly 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Wes Moore 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Ro Khanna 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29
JB Pritzker 3% 7¢ $14.29
Gretchen Whitmer 3% 6¢ $16.67
Cory Booker 3% 6¢ $16.67
Tim Walz 3% 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

18%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom18%▲ 2
  • Jon Ossoff16%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
  • Kamala Harris8%
48 more
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%
  • Rahm Emanuel3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Stephen A. Smith1%
  • Mitch Landrieu1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Chris Van Hollen1%
  • David Jolly1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries1%
  • Sherrod Brown1%
  • Mary Peltola1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Dwayne Johnson<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Beto O'Rourke<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Elizabeth Warren<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $19.7K today · $8.9M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▲ 1
  • Gavin Newsom16%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%
  • Kamala Harris7%
49 more
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna2%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $537K today · $1.3B traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Democratic Presidential, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom

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Elections › President 2028

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20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff9%▼ 1
51 more
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  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
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  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
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  • Pete Hegseth<1%
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  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%▼ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.