Highest temperature in Panama City on October 20?

Polymarket Weather › Daily weather Closed, awaiting its result Closed Thu 11:22 AM ET · $2.5K today · $25.2K traded · $3.3K at stake

The last odds before it closed

99%28°C
  • 28°C99%▲ 4
  • 29°C1%
  • 33°C or higher1%
  • 23°C or below<1%
  • 24°C<1%
  • 25°C<1%
  • 26°C<1%
  • 27°C<1%
  • 30°C<1%▼ 1
  • 31°C<1%
  • 32°C<1%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

28°C: 18% on Oct 20, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 22, 6 AM ET28°C: 91% → 99%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
28°C 99% ▲ 4 99¢ 100¢ $3.3K
29°C 1% 0¢ 1¢ $76.92 $4.5K
33°C or higher 1% 0¢ 1¢ $71.43 $1.1K
23°C or below <1% 0¢ $301
24°C <1% 0¢ $45
25°C <1% 0¢ $45
26°C <1% 0¢ $1.3K
27°C <1% 0¢ $2.5K
30°C <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $6K
31°C <1% 0¢ $4.9K
32°C <1% ▼ 2 0¢ $1.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Panama City weather

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All daily weather ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions