What will Trump say this week? (Before Oct 26, 2026)

Kalshi Mentions › Politicians Closes Mon 10:00 AM ET · $71.7K today · $111K traded · $96.5K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

100%Cuba / Cuban
  • Cuba / Cuban100%▲ 44
  • Ceasefire100%
  • Cybersecurity / Cyber Security100%
  • Rigged Election / Stolen Election68%▲ 29
  • Bibi / Netanyahu66%▼ 4
  • TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome30%▼ 6
  • Autopen / Auto Pen23%▼ 6
  • Houthi17%▲ 2
  • Stupid Question17%▼ 1
  • Tomahawk13%▼ 18
  • Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice10%▼ 1
  • Zohran / Mamdani10%▼ 13
11 more
  • Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis9%
  • Zacharia8%▲ 2
  • Antifa7%
  • Golden Dome7%
  • UFO / UAP6%▼ 2
  • Peace in the Middle East6%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin5%▼ 3
  • Uranium5%▼ 1
  • Epstein3%▼ 1
  • Make Iran Great Again3%▲ 1
  • Prediction Market / Predictive Market2%▼ 2

How the odds have moved

Cuba / Cuban: 44% on Oct 21, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETCuba / Cuban: 53% → 100%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Cuba / Cuban 100% ▲ 44 99¢ 4.8K
Ceasefire 100% 99¢ 8.6K
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security 100% 99¢ 30.5K
✓ Barack Hussein Obama 99% $1.01 1.7K
✓ Sleepy Joe 99% $1.01 7.3K
✓ Dividend / Stimulus 99% $1.01 3.0K
✓ Superintelligence / Super Intelligence 99% $1.01 1.2K
✓ Golf / Golfer / Golfing 99% $1.01 5.3K
✓ Melania 99% $1.01 1.1K
✓ Blockade 99% ▲ 14 $1.01 5.4K
✓ Moon 99% $1.01 2.5K
✓ Nobel 99% ▲ 65 $1.01 2.4K
✓ Ilhan / Omar 99% $1.01 1.5K
✓ Vivek / Ramaswamy 99% ▲ 61 $1.01 2.5K
✓ Diesel 99% $1.01 2.3K
✓ Ethanol 99% ▲ 25 $1.01 6.2K
✓ Third Term 99% ▲ 84 $1.01 13.6K
✓ Soleimani 99% $1.01 2.7K
Rigged Election / Stolen Election 68% ▲ 29 66¢ 70¢ $1.43 3.4K
Bibi / Netanyahu 66% ▼ 4 62¢ 69¢ $1.45 3.8K
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome 30% ▼ 6 29¢ 30¢ $3.33 2.0K
Autopen / Auto Pen 23% ▼ 6 22¢ 23¢ $4.35 1.0K
Houthi 17% ▲ 2 16¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.2K
Stupid Question 17% ▼ 1 16¢ 17¢ $5.88 4.3K
Tomahawk 13% ▼ 18 12¢ 13¢ $7.69 4.2K
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice 10% ▼ 1 8¢ 12¢ $8.33 771
Zohran / Mamdani 10% ▼ 13 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.8K
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis 9% 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.8K
Zacharia 8% ▲ 2 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.1K
Antifa 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 2.1K
Golden Dome 7% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 2.2K
UFO / UAP 6% ▼ 2 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 3.1K
Peace in the Middle East 6% ▼ 1 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 3.3K
Crypto / Bitcoin 5% ▼ 3 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 12.4K
Uranium 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 4.7K
Epstein 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 3.6K
Make Iran Great Again 3% ▲ 1 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 12.0K
Prediction Market / Predictive Market 2% ▼ 2 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 2.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Trump’s Iran sanctions run into limitssemafor.com · 32 h agoThe Trump administration is steadily ratcheting up pressure on Iran with sanctions, but experts and former officials say the penalties thus far are having a limited effect on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to negotiate. Nate Swanson…
  • America must reverse Trump’s moral squalorthe Guardian · 31 h agoThe president shows a unique disregard for the opinions, norms and ideals of the nation – and, for that matter, humanity The Democrats’ focus on affordability seems to be a winning strategy (we’ll know for sure in a little over two weeks)…
  • Trump aide Corey Lewandowski "put in a box" by Trump and ordered to narrow focus to New HampshireCBS News · 43 h agoUpdated on: October 14, 2024 / 7:23 PM EDT / CBS News As former President Donald Trump entered his final weeks of campaigning, the uneasy relationship between rival factions of his campaign's leadership has grown more testy, with sources…
  • Trump signs housing affordability executive orderPOLITICO · 42 h agoThe order aims to reduce mortgage costs as interest rates soar before the midterms. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Thursday aimed at reducing some costs associated with mortgages and boosting manufactured housing…
  • Could Ukraine win sans Trump?POLITICO · 44 h agoFrom the SitRoom to the E-Ring, the inside scoop on defense, national security and foreign policy. By GREGORY SVIRNOVSKIY and GISELLE RUHIYYIH EWING 10/22/2026 04:01 PM EDT President Donald Trump's tiff with Kyiv means President Volodymyr…
  • Trump Asked Google To Rename Atlantic Ocean ‘Trump Ocean’Newsweek · 2 days agoOct 22, 2026 at 04:59 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 06:17 AM EDT President Donald Trump has claimed he spoke to Google about renaming a body of water after himself, saying the technology company rejected the idea because oceans border multiple…
  • Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate raceCNBC · 42 h agoCNBC Trump's tariffs loom over Maine Senate race
  • The Trump-Putin love story’s next chapter: selling out Ukrainethe Guardian · 30 h agoThe US president is portraying Zelenskyy as the villain as he strives for Russia’s approval If Donald Trump could, he would fly to Munich to sign away Ukraine to Vladimir Putin, and return to wave the document as “peace in our time”…
  • DOJ opens investigation into Trump ally Corey LewandowskiFox News · 41 h agoDOJ launches probe into President Trump's adviser Corey Lewandowski after DHS watchdog referral. The Justice Department (DOJ) has launched an investigation into longtime Trump adviser Corey Lewandowski, a source familiar with the matter…
  • Trump rally blitz continues in bid to boost Republicans in 2026 midtermsFox News · 30 h agoWith the 2026 midterm elections less than two weeks away, President Donald Trump, who rallied in Iowa on Thursday, is slated to campaign in Florida on Friday, Georgia on Saturday, and Michigan on Sunday as he continues working to provide…
  • Trump’s Approval Rating Flips With Rural Voters Before MidtermsNewsweek · 38 h agoOct 23, 2026 at 05:28 AM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 05:32 AM EDT President Donald Trump’s approval rating among rural voters in the likely electorate reached 50 percent in an Echelon Insights poll conducted October 15 to 19, putting him one point…
  • Trump Calls on Ilhan Omar to Resign After Birth Name ReportNewsweek · 35 h agoOct 22, 2026 at 09:36 PM EDT President Donald Trump called for U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar to immediately resign from Congress on Thursday after a federal court filing allegedly identified the Minnesota Democrat as “Ilhan Nur Said Elmi…

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All politicians ›

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia?

99%Transgender
  • Transgender99%▲ 1
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating98%▲ 4
  • Save America Act98%▲ 1
29 more
  • Dividend / Stimulus97%
  • Stock Market97%▲ 3
  • Supreme Court94%▲ 9
  • Hottest94%▲ 2
  • Nuclear (3+ times)93%▲ 11
  • Sleepy Joe92%▲ 4
  • Russia / Ukraine91%▲ 10
  • Barack Hussein Obama90%▲ 7
  • Kamala87%▲ 12
  • Keisha Lance Bottoms85%▲ 10
  • Gulf of America83%▲ 23
  • Iran (5+ times)82%▲ 22
  • Hormuz76%▲ 22
  • Blockade74%▲ 25
  • Made in America / American Made73%▲ 13
  • America First71%▲ 9
  • Marjorie56%▲ 22
  • Hyundai50%▼ 9
  • Rigged Election43%▼ 6
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence22%▼ 4
  • Israel / Israeli22%▼ 9
  • Drill Baby Drill21%▼ 10
  • Fraud (3+ times)14%▼ 2
  • Fentanyl14%▲ 4
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation13%▼ 4
  • Ceasefire10%▲ 3
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin1%▼ 1
  • Event does not qualify1%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $117K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan?

98%El-Sayed
  • El-Sayed98%
  • Communist / Communism97%
  • Save America Act96%
29 more
  • Stock Market95%
  • Dividend / Stimulus94%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating94%▲ 3
  • Hottest93%▲ 3
  • Canada / Canadian91%▲ 3
  • Barack Hussein Obama90%▲ 7
  • Supreme Court85%▲ 4
  • Ford / General Motors / GM83%▲ 1
  • Nuclear (3+ times)82%▲ 7
  • Sleepy Joe82%▼ 1
  • Kamala81%▲ 11
  • Auto Worker / Autoworker81%▼ 1
  • Russia / Ukraine80%▲ 5
  • Iran (5+ times)73%▲ 8
  • Made in America / American Made70%▲ 4
  • Gulf of America65%▲ 23
  • Hormuz64%▲ 14
  • America First63%▲ 19
  • Blockade60%▲ 21
  • Israel / Israeli55%
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence30%▲ 4
  • Fraud (3+ times)23%▲ 6
  • Drill Baby Drill22%▼ 1
  • Fentanyl19%▲ 4
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation16%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire7%▼ 4
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
  • Event does not qualify2%
KalshiCloses Nov 8 · $17.4K today

What will Obama say during his midterm rally in Ohio?

92%Afford / Affordable / Affordability
  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability92%▲ 4
  • Democracy91%▲ 4
  • Healthcare89%▲ 2
22 more
  • Trump (2+ times)83%▼ 6
  • Tax82%▼ 5
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence80%▼ 3
  • Inflation79%▼ 6
  • Tariff79%▼ 1
  • Billionaire72%▼ 13
  • Iran / Iranian70%▼ 8
  • Union / Unionize69%▼ 6
  • Immigration / Immigrant69%▼ 8
  • Ballroom / Pool59%▲ 28
  • Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional59%▼ 28
  • ICE49%▼ 31
  • Social Security47%▼ 34
  • Michelle44%▼ 28
  • Vance40%▲ 3
  • Biden30%▼ 5
  • Chicago23%▼ 4
  • Minimum Wage17%▼ 10
  • China / Chinese16%▼ 7
  • 25015%▲ 1
  • Abortion12%▼ 10
  • Event does not qualify3%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Nov 7 · $13.2K today

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

100%Crooked Hillary
  • Crooked Hillary100%▲ 23
  • Marjorie Traitor Greene76%▼ 4
  • Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus69%
11 more
  • Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck53%▼ 26
  • Piggy51%
  • Fat Slob25%
  • Low Energy25%▼ 1
  • Crazy Nancy24%▲ 1
  • Crazy Bernie19%▼ 1
  • Fake Tapper18%
  • Little Communist14%
  • Biden Crime Family11%▼ 5
  • Comrade Kamala11%
  • Rocket Man11%▼ 4
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $7.4K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating90%▲ 1
  • Sleepy Joe88%▲ 3
32 more
  • Barack Hussein Obama87%▲ 11
  • ICE86%▲ 1
  • China / Chinese84%▲ 2
  • Supreme Court84%▲ 9
  • Nuclear (3+ times)84%▲ 4
  • Sanctuary81%▲ 6
  • Tariff (3+ times)80%▲ 5
  • Russia / Ukraine77%▲ 5
  • France75%▲ 5
  • Kamala74%▲ 5
  • Iran (5+ times)74%▲ 16
  • Gulf of America73%▼ 1
  • Drill Baby Drill68%▼ 4
  • America First61%▼ 4
  • Made in America / American Made60%▲ 7
  • Blockade60%▲ 18
  • Hormuz59%▼ 12
  • Electricity45%▲ 19
  • Israel / Israeli38%▼ 1
  • Data Center35%▲ 7
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence33%▼ 3
  • Trump Account30%▲ 5
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation30%▼ 10
  • Social Security (5+ times)26%▲ 8
  • Fentanyl21%▼ 1
  • Windmill19%▼ 12
  • Fraud (3+ times)17%▼ 1
  • Ceasefire13%▲ 4
  • Palestine / Palestinian8%▲ 1
  • Event does not qualify4%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $7.3K today

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act
  • Save America Act95%
  • Cheat / Cheater / Cheating91%▲ 1
  • Gulf of America87%▲ 5
32 more
  • Nuclear (3+ times)84%▲ 4
  • Barack Hussein Obama82%▲ 7
  • China / Chinese81%▲ 1
  • Sanctuary79%▲ 3
  • Supreme Court78%▲ 8
  • Tariff (3+ times)76%▼ 2
  • Sleepy Joe76%
  • ICE75%▼ 4
  • Drill Baby Drill72%▲ 1
  • France71%▲ 14
  • Iran (5+ times)68%▲ 9
  • Hormuz67%▲ 17
  • Russia / Ukraine66%▲ 3
  • Kamala64%▲ 2
  • America First61%▲ 10
  • Made in America / American Made60%▲ 22
  • Blockade51%▲ 8
  • Data Center37%▲ 8
  • Israel / Israeli35%▼ 2
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence31%
  • Trump Account30%▲ 9
  • Electricity27%▼ 17
  • Deport / Deported / Deportation21%▼ 1
  • Fraud (3+ times)17%▲ 4
  • Social Security (5+ times)15%▲ 1
  • Fentanyl14%▼ 1
  • Windmill14%▼ 3
  • Palestine / Palestinian9%▼ 2
  • Ceasefire6%
  • Event does not qualify3%
  • Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 1
  • Crypto / Bitcoin2%
KalshiCloses Nov 10 · $6.6K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.